European Center for Injury Prevention, Universidad de Navarra, Pamplona, Spain.
Risk Anal. 2011 Mar;31(3):466-74. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01509.x. Epub 2010 Oct 12.
Research on the risk of motor vehicle injuries and their relationship with the amount of travel has been only partially analyzed. The few individual exposure assessments are related to very specific subsets of the driving and traveling populations. This study analyzes the relationship between kilometers traveled and hospitalization due to motor vehicle injuries. Twelve thousand three hundred and sixty nine Spanish university graduates from the Seguimiento Universidad de Navarra multipurpose cohort study were evaluated. They had not been hospitalized due to motor vehicle injuries at baseline and were followed up to eight years. Biannual questionnaires allowed for self-reporting of kilometers traveled in motor vehicles, together with incidence of hospitalization. Covariates in the Cox regression models included age and gender and baseline use of safety belt while driving, driving a vehicle with driver-side airbag, driving a motorcycle, and drinking and driving. There were 49,766 participant-years with an average yearly travel of 7,828 km per person-year. Thirty-six subjects reported a first hospitalization event during this time. The adjusted hazard ratio per additional kilometer traveled was 1.00005 (95% confidence interval 1.000013 to 1.000086). Even the smallest of reductions in the amount of kilometers traveled (from an average of 3,250 km per year to 1,000) has a statistically significant protective effect on the likelihood of sustaining hospitalization due to motor vehicle injury (aHR 0.9, 95% CI 0.78 to 0.98). In light of current policies aimed to reduce motorized traffic due to environmental concerns, it may be appropriate to consider the additional health benefit related to reductions in injuries.
机动车事故风险及其与出行量的关系研究仅部分得到了分析。少数个别暴露评估与驾驶和出行人群的特定子集有关。本研究分析了行驶里程与机动车事故导致住院之间的关系。评估了来自西班牙纳瓦拉大学随访多用途队列研究的 12369 名大学毕业生。他们在基线时没有因机动车事故住院,随访时间长达 8 年。每两年一次的问卷允许他们报告机动车行驶的公里数,并报告因机动车事故导致住院的情况。Cox 回归模型中的协变量包括年龄、性别以及基线时使用安全带、驾驶带司机侧安全气囊的车辆、驾驶摩托车、以及酒后驾车的情况。共随访了 49766 人年,人均每年行驶 7828 公里。在此期间,有 36 名受试者报告了首次住院事件。每增加一公里行驶里程的调整后的危险比为 1.00005(95%置信区间为 1.000013 至 1.000086)。即使行驶里程减少最小(从平均每年 3250 公里减少到 1000 公里),也对因机动车事故导致住院的可能性具有统计学显著的保护作用(调整后的危险比 0.9,95%置信区间 0.78 至 0.98)。鉴于当前出于环境问题减少机动车交通的政策,考虑减少伤害带来的额外健康益处可能是合适的。