Gonzales Michael M, Dickinson L Miriam, DiGuiseppi Carolyn, Lowenstein Steven R
Department of Preventive Medicine and Biometrics, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Denver, USA.
Ann Emerg Med. 2005 Feb;45(2):140-6. doi: 10.1016/j.annemergmed.2004.08.039.
Motor vehicle crashes are the leading cause of death for US teenagers, accounting for 40% of fatalities. The purpose of this study was to compare novice (aged 16 years) and experienced (aged 25 to 49 years) drivers involved in fatal motor vehicle crashes with respect to crash characteristics and driver behaviors.
This cross-sectional study of fatal motor vehicle crashes in Colorado used data from the Fatality Analysis Reporting System (1995 to 2001). Driver and crash variables were compared in the 2 age groups using separate logistic regression models, adjusted for sex, geographic locale, and year.
Two thousand four hundred twenty fatal motor vehicle crashes were included; 158 fatalities (6.5%) were novice drivers. Novice drivers were more likely to have been speeding (odds ratio [OR] 1.87, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.34 to 3.08); driving recklessly (OR 4.78, 95% CI 3.31 to 6.92); charged with a traffic violation (OR 3.08, 95% CI 2.20 to 4.31); in a single-vehicle (OR 1.84, 95% CI 1.32 to 2.57), rollover (OR 1.36, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.91) or run-off-the-road (OR 1.54, 95% CI 1.03 to 2.30) crash; and carrying 2 (OR 4.52, 95% CI 2.75 to 7.41) or more (OR 4.07, 95% CI 2.49 to 6.55) passengers. Safety belt nonuse was high for novice (48%) and experienced (42%) drivers (OR 1.19, 95% CI 0.86 to 1.67). Novice drivers had older cars (mean difference 1.5 years, 95% CI 0.37 to 2.57 years). Novice drivers were less likely to be involved in crashes caused by alcohol (OR 0.24, 95% CI 0.14 to 0.41) or adverse weather (OR 0.37, 95% CI 0.19 to 0.75) and to be driving a sport utility vehicle (OR 0.62, 95% CI 0.39 to 0.97).
Fatal motor vehicle crashes involving novice drivers are characterized by speeding, recklessness, single-vehicle and rollover crashes, and traffic law violations, suggesting that novice drivers bear considerable responsibility for their fatal crashes. Moreover, almost half of 16-year-old drivers involved in fatal motor vehicle crashes were not wearing their safety belts. These data may prove useful in strengthening graduated licensing laws and in improving drivers' education courses and public safety campaigns.
机动车碰撞事故是美国青少年死亡的主要原因,占死亡人数的40%。本研究的目的是比较涉及致命机动车碰撞事故的新手(16岁)和经验丰富的驾驶员(25至49岁)在碰撞特征和驾驶行为方面的差异。
这项对科罗拉多州致命机动车碰撞事故的横断面研究使用了来自死亡分析报告系统(1995年至2001年)的数据。使用单独的逻辑回归模型在两个年龄组中比较驾驶员和碰撞变量,并对性别、地理位置和年份进行了调整。
共纳入2420起致命机动车碰撞事故;158名死亡者(6.5%)为新手驾驶员。新手驾驶员更有可能超速行驶(优势比[OR]1.87,95%置信区间[CI]1.34至3.08);鲁莽驾驶(OR 4.78,95%CI 3.31至6.92);被指控交通违法(OR 3.08,95%CI 2.20至4.31);发生单车事故(OR 1.84,95%CI 1.32至2.57)、翻车事故(OR 1.36,95%CI 0.97至1.91)或驶离道路事故(OR 1.54,95%CI 1.03至2.30);搭载2名(OR 4.52,95%CI 2.75至7.41)或更多(OR 4.07,95%CI 2.49至6.55)乘客。新手(48%)和经验丰富的驾驶员(42%)不使用安全带的比例都很高(OR 1.19,95%CI 0.86至1.67)。新手驾驶员驾驶的车辆较旧(平均差异1.5年,95%CI 0.37至2.57年)。新手驾驶员较少卷入由酒精(OR 0.24,95%CI 0.14至0.41)或恶劣天气(OR 0.37,95%CI 0.19至0.75)导致的碰撞事故,也较少驾驶运动型多用途汽车(OR 0.62,95%CI 0.39至0.97)。
涉及新手驾驶员的致命机动车碰撞事故的特点是超速、鲁莽、单车和翻车事故以及交通违法,这表明新手驾驶员对其致命碰撞事故负有相当大的责任。此外,在涉及致命机动车碰撞事故的16岁驾驶员中,近一半未系安全带。这些数据可能有助于加强分级驾照法律,并改善驾驶员教育课程和公共安全宣传活动。