Cifuentes Lorena, Cerda Jaime
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Facultad de Medicina, Departamento de Pediatría.
Rev Chilena Infectol. 2010 Aug;27(4):316-9. doi: 10.4067/s0716-10182010000500005.
The clinical usefulness of a diagnostic test is determined by the extent to which it helps to modify the pretest probability of occurrence of a certain diagnosis. For this purpose, the calculation and application of likelihood ratios (LR) is a very useful tool. Every possible result of a test has a LR, which allows for an estimation of the magnitude by which the pretest probability increases or decreases, thereby helping the physician rule out, confirm, or continue investigating a diagnosis with new tests. In the first part of this article the properties of a diagnostic test (validity, reproducibility and safety) were analyzed. This second part illustrates the theoretical background underlying the concept of LR, explains the methodology for calculating them and describes their clinical application.
诊断试验的临床实用性取决于其有助于改变特定诊断发生的验前概率的程度。为此,似然比(LR)的计算和应用是一种非常有用的工具。试验的每个可能结果都有一个似然比,它可以估计验前概率增加或降低的幅度,从而帮助医生排除、确认诊断或继续通过新的试验来调查诊断。在本文的第一部分,分析了诊断试验的特性(有效性、可重复性和安全性)。第二部分阐述了似然比概念的理论背景,解释了计算似然比的方法,并描述了它们的临床应用。