Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health-Epidemiology, Chiang Mai, Thailand.
Addiction. 2011 Mar;106(3):583-9. doi: 10.1111/j.1360-0443.2010.03175.x. Epub 2010 Nov 4.
AIMS: To estimate all-cause mortality rate and to assess predictors of all-cause mortality among injection drug users (IDUs) in Thai Nguyen province, Vietnam between 2005 and 2007. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Community-dwelling IDUs were enrolled and followed at 3-month intervals for up to 2 years. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 894 male IDUs (median age of 32 years, 22.8% HIV-positive, all having injected opioids). MEASUREMENTS: Deaths were confirmed by family members and by reviewing government records. Marginal Cox proportional hazards models for clustered data were constructed to determine the independent predictors of all-cause mortality, using both fixed baseline measurements and time-dependent repeated measurements. FINDINGS: During 710.1 person-years of follow-up, 45 (5.0%) drug injectors died. The causes of deaths were AIDS-related (14 cases, 31%), drug overdose (12, 27%), suicide (three, 7%), traffic accident (three, 7%), violence (two, 4%), pneumonia (two, 4%), non-traffic accident (one, 2%) and unknown causes (eight, 18%). The all-cause mortality rate was 6.3% (95% CI = 4.6-8.5) per 100 person-years. The standardized mortality ratio was 13.4. The HIV incidence rate was 5.2 (95% CI = 3.5-7.6) per 100 person-years. In multi-factorial analysis, HIV infection [hazard ratio (HR) = 3.5, 95% CI = 1.9-6.3] and previous diagnosis of tuberculosis (HR = 10.0, 95% CI = 4.1-24.3) were associated significantly with increased hazard of death. CONCLUSIONS: The all-cause, age- and sex-standardized mortality among Vietnamese IDUs is 13-fold higher than the general population and substantially higher than IDUs studied in developed countries. Effective prevention and control of HIV infection and tuberculosis are needed urgently.
目的:评估 2005 年至 2007 年越南太原省注射吸毒者(IDU)的全因死亡率,并评估全因死亡率的预测因素。
设计:前瞻性队列研究。
地点:社区居住的 IDU 每隔 3 个月接受一次随访,最长随访时间为 2 年。
参与者:共纳入 894 名男性 IDU(中位年龄 32 岁,22.8%HIV 阳性,均注射过阿片类药物)。
测量:通过家属和查阅政府记录确认死亡。使用固定基线测量值和时间依赖性重复测量值构建了针对聚类数据的边缘 Cox 比例风险模型,以确定全因死亡率的独立预测因素。
结果:在 710.1 人年的随访期间,45 名(5.0%)吸毒者死亡。死亡原因包括艾滋病相关疾病(14 例,31%)、药物过量(12 例,27%)、自杀(3 例,7%)、交通事故(3 例,7%)、暴力(2 例,4%)、肺炎(2 例,4%)、非交通事故(1 例,2%)和原因不明(8 例,18%)。全因死亡率为 6.3%(95%CI=4.6-8.5)/100 人年。标准化死亡率为 13.4。HIV 发病率为 5.2%(95%CI=3.5-7.6)/100 人年。多因素分析显示,HIV 感染(危险比[HR]=3.5,95%CI=1.9-6.3)和既往结核病诊断(HR=10.0,95%CI=4.1-24.3)与死亡风险增加显著相关。
结论:越南 IDU 的全因、年龄和性别标准化死亡率比普通人群高 13 倍,比发达国家的 IDU 高得多。迫切需要有效预防和控制 HIV 感染和结核病。
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