Department of Preventive Medicine, Institute of Environmental Health, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.
Wien Klin Wochenschr. 2010 Dec;122(23-24):698-703. doi: 10.1007/s00508-010-1487-x. Epub 2010 Nov 15.
The millstone around the neck of tobacco control in Europe has been the influence of the tobacco industry on the governments of German speaking countries. This study attempts to estimate non-lung cancer mortality attributable to smoking in Austria during 1967-2006 and in Germany during 1973-2006. National estimates of the annual smoking-attributable fractions (SAF) were calculated for all ages in males, using lung cancer mortality rates as indicators of "tobacco smoke load" associated with cancer from active and passive smoking. In both countries non-lung cancer rates showed a nearly perfect linear correlation with lung cancer rates (R (2) = 0.95 in Austria and 0.94 in Germany) with a slope of 1.86 (95% confidence intervals [CI]: 1.71-1.99) in Austria and 1.77 (95% CI: 1.60-1.93) in Germany. In 2006 SAF of male cancer mortality for all ages were 61% in Austria (sensitivity range [SR]: 45%-70%) without autocorrelation and 61% in Germany (SR: 41-75%), if adjusted for possible autocorrelation. The similarity of the results is in line with the poor tobacco control measures in both countries until recently. Cancer prevention programs in Austria and Germany should focus on tobacco control, because 61% of male cancer mortality was associated with tobacco smoke load.
在欧洲,烟草控制的“紧箍咒”一直是烟草业对德语国家政府的影响。本研究旨在估计奥地利(1967-2006 年)和德国(1973-2006 年)非肺癌死亡率归因于吸烟的情况。采用肺癌死亡率作为与主动和被动吸烟相关的“烟草烟雾负荷”的指标,计算了所有年龄男性的年度吸烟归因分数(SAF)的全国估计值。在这两个国家,非肺癌死亡率与肺癌死亡率呈近乎完美的线性相关(奥地利的 R²=0.95,德国的 R²=0.94),奥地利的斜率为 1.86(95%置信区间[CI]:1.71-1.99),德国的斜率为 1.77(95%CI:1.60-1.93)。2006 年,奥地利所有年龄男性癌症死亡率的 SAF 为 61%(敏感范围[SR]:45%-70%),无自相关,德国为 61%(SR:41-75%),如果调整可能的自相关。结果的相似性与这两个国家最近为止烟草控制措施不力是一致的。奥地利和德国的癌症预防计划应侧重于烟草控制,因为 61%的男性癌症死亡率与烟草烟雾负荷有关。