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[德国及德国联邦各州的烟草归因死亡率——基于微观人口普查和死亡率统计数据的计算]

[Tobacco-attributable mortality in Germany and in the German Federal States - calculations with data from a microcensus and mortality statistics].

作者信息

Mons U

机构信息

Deutsches Krebsforschungszentrum, Stabsstelle Krebsprävention und WHO-Kollaborationszentrum für Tabakkontrolle, Heidelberg.

出版信息

Gesundheitswesen. 2011 Apr;73(4):238-46. doi: 10.1055/s-0030-1252039. Epub 2010 Jun 14.

Abstract

AIM OF THE STUDY

Smoking is the single most important health risk, and annually about five million premature deaths worldwide are attributed to smoking. The aim of this study is to estimate the number of smoking attributable deaths for Germany and its 16 states (Länder) and to assess the regional differences of smoking prevalence and smoking-attributable mortality.

METHODS

The smoking-attributable mortality is estimated on the basis of (1) smoking and ex-smoking prevalence, (2) the number of deaths by ICD-10 for diseases for which smokers have an increased mortality risk, and (3) the relative mortality risks for smokers and ex-smokers for these diseases.

RESULTS

According to the calculations, 106 623 deaths in Germany in 2007 are attributable to smoking, 77 588 deaths in men and 29 035 in women. This means that 13% of all deaths of people over 35 and of children under age 1 are attributable to smoking (20.2% in men, 6.7% in women).

CONCLUSIONS

The state-specific differences of the smoking-attributable mortality rate indicate a north-south-gradient. This gradient is more significant in men, whereas in women there are also some eastern states with a low smoking-attributable mortality. Overall, there is still a high burden of tobacco-related deaths in Germany which leads to considerable costs for the German health system and economy.

摘要

研究目的

吸烟是单一最重要的健康风险因素,全球每年约有500万人过早死亡归因于吸烟。本研究的目的是估计德国及其16个州吸烟导致的死亡人数,并评估吸烟流行率和吸烟所致死亡率的地区差异。

方法

吸烟所致死亡率的估计基于以下因素:(1)当前吸烟者和既往吸烟者的流行率;(2)国际疾病分类第10版(ICD-10)中吸烟者死亡风险增加的疾病的死亡人数;(3)这些疾病吸烟者和既往吸烟者的相对死亡风险。

结果

根据计算,2007年德国有106623例死亡归因于吸烟,其中男性77588例,女性29035例。这意味着35岁以上人群和1岁以下儿童的所有死亡中,13%归因于吸烟(男性为20.2%,女性为6.7%)。

结论

吸烟所致死亡率的州级差异呈现出南北梯度。这种梯度在男性中更为显著,而在女性中,一些东部州的吸烟所致死亡率也较低。总体而言,德国与烟草相关的死亡负担仍然很高,给德国卫生系统和经济带来了相当大的成本。

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