Sam Houston State University, Economics and International Business, Huntsville, TX 77341, USA.
Soc Sci Med. 2010 Dec;71(12):2066-73. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2010.09.047. Epub 2010 Oct 21.
We investigate the relationship between mortality and business cycles within Mexico, where development varies significantly. We exploit this variation by separately analyzing the top ten and bottom ten developed states for the period 1993-2004. We find that while overall mortality is procyclical nationally and in the top ten states, it is countercyclical in the bottom ten. Further, we show that in the top ten states mortality due to non communicable conditions is procyclical, while in the bottom ten mortality due to non communicable conditions and infectious and parasitic diseases are countercyclical. Our results suggest that the relationship between mortality and business cycles may vary by level of development.
我们研究了墨西哥国内死亡率与商业周期之间的关系，因为该国的发展水平存在显著差异。我们通过分别分析 1993 年至 2004 年期间发展水平最高和最低的前 10 个州，利用这种差异进行了研究。我们发现，尽管全国和发展水平最高的 10 个州的总死亡率呈顺周期性，但发展水平最低的 10 个州的死亡率呈逆周期性。此外，我们还表明，在发展水平最高的 10 个州，非传染性疾病导致的死亡率呈顺周期性，而在发展水平最低的 10 个州，非传染性疾病和传染性及寄生虫病导致的死亡率呈逆周期性。我们的研究结果表明，死亡率与商业周期之间的关系可能因发展水平而异。
