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汽油价格及其与酒驾事故的关系。

Gasoline prices and their relationship to drunk-driving crashes.

机构信息

Department of Sociology, Mississippi State University, PO Box C, Mississippi State, MS 39762, USA.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2011 Jan;43(1):194-203. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2010.08.009. Epub 2010 Sep 15.

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between changing gasoline prices and drunk-driving crashes. Specifically, we examine the effects of gasoline prices on drunk-driving crashes in Mississippi by several crash types and demographic groups at the monthly level from 2004 to 2008, a period experiencing great fluctuation in gasoline prices. An exploratory visualization by graphs shows that higher gasoline prices are generally associated with fewer drunk-driving crashes. Higher gasoline prices depress drunk-driving crashes among young and adult drivers, among male and female drivers, and among white and black drivers. Results from negative binomial regression models show that when gas prices are higher, there are fewer drunk-driving crashes, particularly among property-damage-only crashes. When alcohol consumption levels are higher, there are more drunk-driving crashes, particularly fatal and injury crashes. The effects of gasoline prices and alcohol consumption are stronger on drunk-driving crashes than on all crashes. The findings do not vary much across different demographic groups. Overall, gasoline prices have greater effects on less severe crashes and alcohol consumption has greater effects on more severe crashes.

摘要

这项研究调查了汽油价格变化与酒后驾车事故之间的关系。具体来说,我们通过图表进行探索性可视化,发现汽油价格越高,酒后驾车事故通常越少。我们在 2004 年至 2008 年期间,以每月为单位,研究了汽油价格波动较大的密西西比州几种车祸类型和不同人群的酒后驾车事故与汽油价格之间的关系。结果表明,汽油价格越高,酒后驾车事故越少,尤其是在仅造成财产损失的事故中。当酒精消费水平较高时,酒后驾车事故就会越多,尤其是致命和受伤的事故。与所有车祸相比,汽油价格和酒精消费对酒后驾车事故的影响更大。在不同的人群中,这些发现变化不大。总的来说,汽油价格对较不严重的事故影响更大,而酒精消费对更严重的事故影响更大。

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