Campostrini F, Di Marco A, Micciolo R, Grandinetti A, Griso C, Palazzi M, Zamboni M
Divisione di Radioterapia, Ospedale Civile Maggiore, Verona.
Radiol Med. 1990 May;79(5):539-43.
Bone scanning plays a pre-eminent role in tumor staging procedures, but its reliability is often questioned because of the high incidence of false positive results; not even bone biopsy can always clarify these questionable findings. To verify what actually becomes of the pathological hot spots lacking radiological evidence, we studied 49 patients with this discrepancy and followed them for an average period of 10 years (range: 8-11). The patients were divided into 3 subgroups: 1) 13 N+ patients with multiple hot spots (greater than 2) (N+ IM); 2) 24 N+ patients with single hot spots (less than or equal to 2) (N+ IS); 3) 12 N- patients with single hot spots (less than or equal to 2) (N- IS). Bone metastasis-free survival rate (SLMO) was calculated, which was confirmed by radiology, and overall survival rate (SG). SLMO was considered to coincide with the percentage of "true" false positives. At 10 years SLMO was 7%, 65%, and 83%, whereas SG was 15%, 70%, and 90%, respectively, in the 3 subgroups N+ IM, N+ IS, and N- IS. The Log-rank test demonstrated a highly significant difference (p less than 0.001) between SLMO and SG in these subgroups, due to the poor prognosis of N+ IM patients. The cumulative examination of all N+ N- patients with single hot spots (36 patients) demonstrated 75% probability of "true" false positives at 10 years. Moreover, the risk of bone metastases resulted higher in the hot spots of the spine than in those of the skull and ribs. The possible role is discussed of microfractures and bone traumatisms in the genesis of "true" false positives.
骨扫描在肿瘤分期过程中起着重要作用,但由于假阳性结果的高发生率,其可靠性经常受到质疑;即使是骨活检也不一定总能澄清这些可疑的发现。为了验证缺乏放射学证据的病理性热点实际上会怎样,我们研究了49例存在这种差异的患者,并对他们进行了平均10年(范围:8 - 11年)的随访。患者被分为3个亚组:1)13例有多个热点(大于2个)的N +患者(N + IM);2)24例有单个热点(小于或等于2个)的N +患者(N + IS);3)12例有单个热点(小于或等于2个)的N -患者(N - IS)。计算了无骨转移生存率(SLMO),经放射学确认,以及总生存率(SG)。SLMO被认为与“真正”假阳性的百分比一致。在10年时,N + IM、N + IS和N - IS这3个亚组的SLMO分别为7%、65%和83%,而SG分别为15%、70%和90%。对数秩检验显示,由于N + IM患者预后较差,这些亚组的SLMO和SG之间存在高度显著差异(p小于0.001)。对所有有单个热点的N +和N -患者(36例)的累积检查显示,10年时“真正”假阳性的概率为75%。此外,脊柱热点发生骨转移的风险高于颅骨和肋骨热点。文中讨论了微骨折和骨创伤在“真正”假阳性发生过程中可能起到的作用。