Lambo Jonathan, Khahro Zahid, Memon Mahmood, Lashari Muhammad
Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Lethbridge, Lethbridge, Alberta, Canada.
Scand J Infect Dis. 2011 Mar;43(3):175-80. doi: 10.3109/00365548.2010.541493. Epub 2010 Dec 13.
The study objective was to assess the incidence of neonatal tetanus (NT) in Dadu District, Pakistan.
We analyzed the NT surveillance data for the period 1993-2003 in order to determine the NT incidence. We identified unreported NT cases retrospectively in 2005, by active surveillance and hospital record reviews. The 2-source capture-recapture method was used to estimate the incidence of NT cases.
Active methods identified 134 cases in addition to 274 cases in the routine surveillance system. The average annual incidence in routine surveillance was 0.55 per 1000 live-births (LB). Based on an estimated 463 NT cases during this period (95% confidence interval (CI) 425-509), the average annual incidence (capture-recapture) was 0.62 per 1000 LB. Through routine immunization and supplementary immunization activities, NT incidence declined from 0.87 per 1000 LB in 1994 to 0.18 per 1000 LB in 2003. Males had higher incidence rates than females. Both of the average annual incidence rates (by routine surveillance and capture-recapture method) are below the World Health Organization global elimination goal.
Enhanced case-based investigation, targeted tetanus toxoid immunization of women of childbearing age, community-based NT reporting, immediate reporting and active surveillance are critical to sustain the ongoing decline in NT incidence.
本研究目的是评估巴基斯坦达杜地区新生儿破伤风(NT)的发病率。
我们分析了1993 - 2003年期间的NT监测数据以确定NT发病率。2005年,我们通过主动监测和医院记录审查,回顾性地识别未报告的NT病例。采用双源捕获 - 再捕获法估计NT病例的发病率。
主动监测方法除在常规监测系统中发现的274例病例外,又识别出134例病例。常规监测中的年平均发病率为每1000例活产儿(LB)0.55例。基于此期间估计的463例NT病例(95%置信区间(CI)425 - 509),年平均发病率(捕获 - 再捕获法)为每1000例活产儿0.62例。通过常规免疫和补充免疫活动,NT发病率从1994年的每1000例活产儿0.87例降至2003年的每1000例活产儿0.18例。男性发病率高于女性。两个年平均发病率(常规监测和捕获 - 再捕获法)均低于世界卫生组织的全球消除目标。
加强基于病例的调查、对育龄妇女进行有针对性的破伤风类毒素免疫、基于社区的NT报告、即时报告和主动监测对于维持NT发病率的持续下降至关重要。