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中国钱塘江不同功能区水污染的时变趋势与来源解析。

Temporal trend and source apportionment of water pollution in different functional zones of Qiantang River, China.

机构信息

College of Environment and Natural Resources, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.

出版信息

Water Res. 2011 Feb;45(4):1781-95. doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2010.11.030. Epub 2010 Nov 30.

Abstract

The increasingly serious river water pollution in developing countries poses great threat to environmental health and human welfare. The assignment of river function to specific uses, known as zoning, is a useful tool to reveal variations of water environmental adaptability to human impact. Therefore, characterizing the temporal trend and identifying responsible pollution sources in different functional zones could greatly improve our knowledge about human impacts on the river water environment. The aim of this study is to obtain a deeper understanding of temporal trends and sources of water pollution in different functional zones with a case study of the Qiantang River, China. Measurement data were obtained and pretreated for 13 variables from 41 monitoring sites in four categories of functional zones during the period 1996-2004. An exploratory approach, which combines smoothing and non-parametric statistical tests, was applied to characterize trends of four significant parameters (permanganate index, ammonia nitrogen, total cadmium and fluoride) accounting for differences among different functional zones identified by discriminant analysis. Aided by GIS, yearly pollution index (PI) for each monitoring site was further mapped to compare the within-group variations in temporal dynamics for different functional zones. Rotated principal component analysis and receptor model (absolute principle component score-multiple linear regression, APCS-MLR) revealed that potential pollution sources and their corresponding contributions varied among the four functional zones. Variations of APCS values for each site of one functional zone as well as their annual average values highlighted the uncertainties associated with cross space-time effects in source apportionment. All these results reinforce the notion that the concept of zoning should be taken seriously in water pollution control. Being applicable to other rivers, the framework of management-oriented source apportionment is thus believed to have potentials to offer new insights into water management and advance the source apportionment framework as an operational basis for national and local governments.

摘要

发展中国家日益严重的河流水污染对环境健康和人类福祉构成了巨大威胁。将河流功能分配给特定用途,即分区,是一种有用的工具,可以揭示水环境对人类影响的适应性变化。因此,描述不同功能区的时间趋势并确定责任污染源,可以大大提高我们对人类活动对河流水环境影响的认识。本研究的目的是以中国钱塘江为例,深入了解不同功能区的水污染时间趋势和污染源。 1996-2004 年间,从四个功能区的 41 个监测点获取并预处理了 13 个变量的测量数据。采用探索性方法,结合平滑和非参数统计检验,对占判别分析确定的不同功能区之间差异的四个重要参数(高锰酸盐指数、氨氮、总镉和氟化物)的趋势进行了特征描述。借助 GIS,进一步绘制了每个监测点的年污染指数(PI),以比较不同功能区的时间动态内组间的变化。旋转主成分分析和受体模型(绝对主成分得分-多元线性回归,APCS-MLR)表明,潜在污染源及其相应的贡献在四个功能区之间有所不同。一个功能区的每个站点的 APCS 值的变化及其年平均值突出了源分配中跨空间时间效应的不确定性。所有这些结果都强化了分区概念在水污染控制中应得到认真对待的观点。由于适用于其他河流,因此基于管理的源分配框架有望为水管理提供新的见解,并推进源分配框架作为国家和地方政府的操作基础。

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