MMWR Recomm Rep. 1990 Jul 27;39(RR-11):1-23.
Clusters of health events, such as chronic diseases, injuries, and birth defects, are often reported to health agencies. In many instances, the health agency will not be able to demonstrate an excess of the condition in question or establish an etiologic linkage to an exposure. Nevertheless, a systematic, integrated approach is needed for responding to reports of clusters. In addition to having epidemiologic and statistical expertise, health agencies should recognize the social dimensions of a cluster and should develop an approach for investigating clusters that best maintains critical community relationships and that does not excessively deplete resources. Health agencies should understand the potential legal ramifications of reported clusters, how risks are perceived by the community, and the influence of the media on that perception. Organizationally, each agency should have an internal management system to assure prompt attention to reports of clusters. Such a system requires the establishment of a locus of responsibility and control within the agency and of a process for involving concerned groups and citizens, such as an officially constituted advisory committee. Written operating procedures and dedicated resources may be of particular value. Although a systematic approach is vital, health agencies should be flexible in their method of analysis and tests of statistical significance. The recommended approach is a four-stage process: initial response, assessment, major feasibility study, and etiologic investigation. Each step provides opportunities for collecting data and making decisions. Although this approach may not always be followed sequentially, it provides a systematic plan with points at which the decision may be made to terminate or continue the investigation.
诸如慢性病、伤害和出生缺陷等健康事件群集常常被报告给卫生机构。在许多情况下,卫生机构无法证明所涉疾病存在异常,也无法确定与某种暴露之间的病因联系。然而,对于应对群集事件报告,需要一种系统的、综合的方法。除了具备流行病学和统计学专业知识外,卫生机构还应认识到群集事件的社会层面,并应制定一种调查群集事件的方法,这种方法能最好地维护关键的社区关系,且不会过度消耗资源。卫生机构应了解报告的群集事件可能产生的法律后果、社区如何看待风险以及媒体对这种看法的影响。在组织方面,每个机构都应拥有一个内部管理系统,以确保对群集事件报告能迅速予以关注。这样一个系统要求在机构内部确定责任和控制的归属,并建立一个让相关团体和公民参与的程序,比如一个正式组建的咨询委员会。书面操作程序和专用资源可能具有特别的价值。虽然系统的方法至关重要,但卫生机构在分析方法和统计学显著性检验方面应保持灵活。推荐的方法是一个四阶段过程:初步应对、评估、主要可行性研究和病因调查。每个步骤都提供了收集数据和做出决策的机会。虽然这种方法不一定总是按顺序进行,但它提供了一个系统的计划,在某些关键点上可以做出终止或继续调查的决定。