Institute of Environmental and Occupational Health Sciences, National Yang Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan.
Sci Total Environ. 2011 Feb 1;409(5):863-7. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2010.11.024. Epub 2010 Dec 22.
In 1981, a petrol-lead phase-out program (PLPOP) was launched in Taiwan for the abatement of environmental lead emissions. The present study was set out to examine whether the reduction of environmental lead emissions would result in the decrease in mortality rates of various diseases based on national data between 1981 and 2007.
The national mortality data were obtained from the Office of Statistics of the Taiwan Department of Health (Taiwan DOH). Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated based on 2000 WHO world standard population. Gasoline consumptions were obtained from the Bureau of Energy.
The mean blood lead levels (BLLs) had decreased dramatically from approximately 20.14μg/dl in the leaded petrol phase to 3μg/dl or lower in the unleaded petrol phase. From 1981 to 2007, the mortality (per 100,000 people) was decreased from 146.2 to 43.8 for cerebrovascular disease, from 85.3 to 44.4 for heart disease, from 35.4 to 6.6 for hypertensive disease, from 21.3 to 17.3 for nephrosis, and from 810.2 to 491.6 for all causes. By taking the confounders (including economic growth rate, per capita income, tobacco consumption, and medical resources) into account, the decreases in SMRs for all causes, cerebrovascular disease, and nephrosis were found to be highly correlated with the decrease in petrol lead emissions (p-values=0.001, <0.001, 0.020, respectively).
Our results clearly show that the implementation of the PLPOP was associated with a decline in mortality rates in several diseases that have been associated with lead exposure, even after adjustment for a number of relevant confounders.
1981 年,台湾启动了一个含铅汽油淘汰计划(PLPOP),以减少环境铅排放。本研究旨在根据 1981 年至 2007 年的全国数据,检验环境铅排放的减少是否会导致各种疾病的死亡率下降。
从台湾卫生署(台湾 DOH)统计处获取全国死亡率数据。基于 2000 年世界卫生组织(WHO)世界标准人口,计算标准化死亡率(SMR)。从能源局获取汽油消耗量。
含铅汽油阶段的平均血铅水平(BLL)从约 20.14μg/dl 急剧下降到无铅汽油阶段的 3μg/dl 或更低。1981 年至 2007 年期间,脑血管疾病的死亡率(每 10 万人)从 146.2 降至 43.8,心脏病从 85.3 降至 44.4,高血压从 35.4 降至 6.6,肾病从 21.3 降至 17.3,所有原因的死亡率从 810.2 降至 491.6。考虑到混杂因素(包括经济增长率、人均收入、烟草消费和医疗资源),所有原因、脑血管疾病和肾病的 SMR 下降与汽油含铅量下降高度相关(p 值分别为 0.001、<0.001、0.020)。
我们的结果清楚地表明,即使在考虑了一些相关混杂因素后,含铅汽油淘汰计划的实施与几种与铅暴露相关疾病的死亡率下降有关。