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在随机对照抑郁试验中对多个结局的使用和滥用。

The use and abuse of multiple outcomes in randomized controlled depression trials.

机构信息

Department of Mathematics and Statistics/Smith College, Clark Science Center, 44 College Lane, Northampton, MA 01063-0001, USA.

出版信息

Contemp Clin Trials. 2011 Mar;32(2):299-304. doi: 10.1016/j.cct.2010.12.007. Epub 2010 Dec 23.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Multiple outcomes are commonly analyzed in randomized trials. Interpretation of the results of trials with many outcomes is not always straightforward. We characterize the prevalence and factors associated with multiple outcomes in reports of clinical trials of depression, methods used to account for these outcomes, and concordance between published analyses and original protocol specifications.

METHODS

A PubMed search for randomized controlled depression trials that included multiple outcomes published between January 2007 and October 2008 in 6 medical journals. Original study protocols were reviewed where available. Parallel data collection by 2 abstractors was used to determine trial registration information, the number of outcomes, and analytical method.

RESULTS

Of the 55 included trials, nearly half of the papers reported more than 1 primary outcome, while almost all (90.9%, n = 50) reported more than 2 combined primary or secondary outcomes. Relatively few of the studies (5.8%, n = 3) adjusted for multiple outcomes. While most studies had published protocols in clinical trial registries (76.4%, n = 42), many did not specify outcomes in the protocol (n = 11) and a number had discrepancies with the published report.

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple outcomes are prevalent in randomized controlled depression trials and appropriate statistical analyses to account for these methods are rarely used. Not all studies filed protocols, and there were discrepancies between these protocols and published reports. These issues complicate interpretability of trial results, and in some cases may lead to spurious conclusions. Promulgation of guidelines to improve analysis and reporting of multiple outcomes is warranted.

摘要

目的

随机试验中通常会分析多个结局。对于具有多个结局的试验结果的解释并不总是直截了当的。我们描述了抑郁的临床试验报告中多个结局的发生率和相关因素、用于处理这些结局的方法,以及发表的分析结果与原始方案规范之间的一致性。

方法

对 2007 年 1 月至 2008 年 10 月期间在 6 种医学期刊上发表的随机对照抑郁试验进行了 PubMed 检索,纳入了包含多个结局的研究。在可能的情况下,对原始研究方案进行了回顾。由两名摘要作者平行收集信息,以确定试验注册信息、结局数量和分析方法。

结果

在纳入的 55 项试验中,近一半的论文报告了超过 1 个主要结局,而几乎所有(90.9%,n=50)的论文报告了超过 2 个联合主要或次要结局。相对较少的研究(5.8%,n=3)对多个结局进行了调整。虽然大多数研究在临床试验注册处有发表的方案(76.4%,n=42),但许多方案中没有明确规定结局(n=11),并且一些研究与发表的报告存在差异。

结论

随机对照抑郁试验中多个结局很常见,很少使用适当的统计方法来处理这些结局。并非所有研究都提交了方案,并且方案与发表的报告之间存在差异。这些问题使试验结果的可解释性变得复杂,在某些情况下可能导致虚假的结论。有必要颁布指南来改进对多个结局的分析和报告。

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