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建立波兰地区还原态氮的沉积和大气浓度模型及其对年气象变化的敏感性。

Modelling deposition and air concentration of reduced nitrogen in Poland and sensitivity to variability in annual meteorology.

机构信息

Institute of Geography and Regional Development, Wrocław University, Department of Climatology and Atmosphere Protection, ul. Kosiby 6/8, 51-670 Wrocław, Poland.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2011 Apr;92(4):1225-36. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2010.12.008. Epub 2011 Jan 5.

Abstract

The relative contribution of reduced nitrogen to acid and eutrophic deposition in Europe has increased recently as a result of European policies which have been successful in reducing SO(2) and NO(x) emissions but have had smaller impacts on ammonia (NH(3)) emissions. In this paper the Fine Resolution Atmospheric Multi-pollutant Exchange (FRAME) model was used to calculate the spatial patterns of annual average ammonia and ammonium (NH(4)(+)) air concentrations and reduced nitrogen (NH(x)) dry and wet deposition with a 5 km × 5 km grid for years 2002-2005. The modelled air concentrations of NH(3) and dry deposition of NH(x) show similar spatial patterns for all years considered. The largest year to year changes were found for wet deposition, which vary considerably with precipitation amount. The FRAME modelled air concentrations and wet deposition are in reasonable agreement with available measurements (Pearson's correlation coefficients above 0.6 for years 2002-2005), and with spatial patterns of concentrations and deposition of NH(x) reported with the EMEP results, but show larger spatial gradients. The error statistics show that the FRAME model results are in better agreement with measurements if compared with EMEP estimates. The differences in deposition budgets calculated with FRAME and EMEP do not exceed 17% for wet and 6% for dry deposition, with FRAME estimates higher than for EMEP wet deposition for modelled period and lower or equal for dry deposition. The FRAME estimates of wet deposition budget are lower than the measurement-based values reported by the Chief Inspectorate of Environmental Protection of Poland, with the differences by approximately 3%. Up to 93% of dry and 53% of wet deposition of NH(x) in Poland originates from national sources. Over the western part of Poland and mountainous areas in the south, transboundary transport can contribute over 80% of total (dry + wet) NH(x) deposition. The spatial pattern of the relative contribution of national sources to total deposition of NH(x) may change significantly due to the general circulation of air.

摘要

由于欧洲政策成功地减少了 SO2 和 NOx 的排放,但对氨(NH3)排放的影响较小,因此欧洲的氮还原物对酸和富营养化沉积的相对贡献最近有所增加。本文利用高分辨率大气多污染物交换(FRAME)模型,以 5km×5km 的网格计算了 2002-2005 年 NH3 和铵(NH4+)空气浓度以及还原态氮(NHx)干湿沉降的年均空间分布。所有年份的模型化 NH3 空气浓度和 NHx 干沉降都显示出相似的空间分布。湿沉降的年际变化最大,随降水量变化较大。模型化的 FRAME 空气浓度和湿沉降与可用测量值(2002-2005 年的 Pearson 相关系数大于 0.6)以及 EMEP 结果报告的 NHx 浓度和沉积的空间格局具有较好的一致性,但显示出较大的空间梯度。误差统计表明,与 EMEP 估计值相比,FRAME 模型结果与测量值的一致性更好。如果与 EMEP 相比,FRAME 和 EMEP 计算的沉积预算差异不超过湿沉积的 17%和干沉积的 6%,则 FRAME 估计值高于 EMEP 湿沉积的模型期,而干沉积则低于或等于 EMEP。FRAME 对湿沉积预算的估计值低于波兰环境保护总局报告的基于测量值的数值,差异约为 3%。波兰 93%的 NHx 干沉积和 53%的湿沉积来源于国内来源。在波兰西部和南部山区,跨境传输可贡献 NHx 总(干+湿)沉积的 80%以上。由于空气的一般环流,国家来源对 NHx 总沉积的相对贡献的空间格局可能会发生显著变化。

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