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化疗对感染疟疾的移民疟疾疾病最佳控制的影响。

Impact of chemo-therapy on optimal control of malaria disease with infected immigrants.

作者信息

Makinde O D, Okosun K O

机构信息

Institute for Advance Research in Mathematical Modelling and Computations, Cape Peninsula University of Technology, Cape Town 8000, South Africa.

出版信息

Biosystems. 2011 Apr;104(1):32-41. doi: 10.1016/j.biosystems.2010.12.010. Epub 2011 Jan 8.

Abstract

We derived and analyzed rigorously a mathematical model that describes the dynamics of malaria infection with the recruitment of infected immigrants, treatment of infectives and spray of insecticides against mosquitoes in the population. Both qualitative and quantitative analysis of the deterministic model are performed with respect to stability of the disease free and endemic equilibria. It is found that in the absence of infected immigrants disease-free equilibrium is achievable and is locally asymptotically stable. Using Pontryagin's Maximum Principle, the optimal strategies for disease control are established. Finally, numerical simulations are performed to illustrate the analytical results.

摘要

我们严格推导并分析了一个数学模型,该模型描述了在有感染性移民迁入、感染者接受治疗以及对人群中的蚊子喷洒杀虫剂的情况下疟疾感染的动态变化。针对无病平衡点和地方病平衡点的稳定性,对确定性模型进行了定性和定量分析。结果发现,在没有感染性移民的情况下,无病平衡点是可以实现的,并且是局部渐近稳定的。利用庞特里亚金极大值原理,建立了疾病控制的最优策略。最后,进行了数值模拟以说明分析结果。

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