Social Epidemiological Research Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, 33 Russell Street, T524, Toronto, ON, M5S 2S1, Canada.
J Gambl Stud. 2011 Dec;27(4):607-23. doi: 10.1007/s10899-011-9238-0.
This study used simulations to examine the effect of prize structure on the outcome volatility and the number of winners of various game configurations. The two most common prize structures found in gambling games are even money payoff games (bet $1; win $2) found on most table games and multilevel prizes structures found in gambling machine games. Simulations were set up to examine the effect of prize structure on the long-term outcomes of these games. Eight different prize structures were compared in terms of the number of winners and volatility. It was found that the standard table game and commercial gambling machines produced fairly high numbers of short term winners (1 h), but few long term winners (50 h). It was found that the typical even money game set up produced the lowest level of volatility. Of the multilevel prize structures examined, the three simulations based on commercial gambling machines were the least volatile. The results are examined in terms of the pragmatics of game design.
本研究通过模拟，考察了不同游戏配置下的奖结构对结果波动性和获奖者数量的影响。赌博游戏中最常见的两种奖结构是多数桌上游戏中采用的等额赔付奖结构（押注 1 美元；赢得 2 美元）和赌博机游戏中采用的多级奖结构。模拟旨在考察奖结构对这些游戏长期结果的影响。比较了八种不同的奖结构在获奖者数量和波动性方面的差异。结果发现，标准的桌上游戏和商业老虎机在短期内（1 小时）产生了相当多的获奖者，但在长期内（50 小时）获奖者很少。结果还发现，典型的等额游戏设置产生的波动性最低。在所研究的多级奖结构中，基于商业老虎机的三个模拟结果波动性最小。从游戏设计的角度来看，对结果进行了检验。
