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用 ROC 评估信念偏差效应:对 Dube、Rotello 和 Heit(2010)的回复。

Assessing the belief bias effect with ROCs: reply to Dube, Rotello, and Heit (2010).

机构信息

Institut fur Psychologie, Albert-Ludwigs-Universitat Freiburg.

出版信息

Psychol Rev. 2011 Jan;118(1):164-73. doi: 10.1037/a0020698.

DOI:10.1037/a0020698
PMID:21244192
Abstract

Dube, Rotello, and Heit (2010) argued (a) that the so-called receiver operating characteristic is nonlinear for data on belief bias in syllogistic reasoning; (b) that their data are inconsistent with Klauer, Musch, and Naumer's (see record 2000-02818-008) model of belief bias; (c) that their data are inconsistent with any of the existing accounts of belief bias and only consistent with a theory provided by signal detection theory; and (d) that in fact, belief bias is a response bias effect. In this reply, we present reanalyses of Dube et al.'s data and of old data suggesting (a) that the receiver operating characteristic is linear for binary "valid" versus "invalid" responses, as employed by the bulk of research in this field; (b) that Klauer et al.'s model describes the old data significantly better than does Dube et al.'s model and that it describes Dube et al.'s data somewhat better than does Dube et al.'s model; (c) that Dube et al.'s data are consistent with the account of belief bias by misinterpreted necessity, whereas Dube et al.'s signal detection model does not fit their data; and (d) that belief bias is more than a response bias effect.

摘要

杜贝、罗泰洛和海特(2010)认为:(a)在三段论推理中信念偏差的所谓接收者操作特征是非线性的;(b)他们的数据与克劳尔、马斯克和瑙默尔(见记录 2000-02818-008)的信念偏差模型不一致;(c)他们的数据与现有的信念偏差解释不一致,只与信号检测理论提供的理论一致;(d)事实上,信念偏差是一种反应偏差效应。在这个回复中,我们对杜贝等人的数据以及旧数据进行了重新分析,结果表明:(a)对于该领域大部分研究中使用的二进制“有效”与“无效”反应,接收者操作特征是线性的;(b)克劳尔等人的模型比杜贝等人的模型更好地描述了旧数据,并且比杜贝等人的模型更好地描述了杜贝等人的数据;(c)杜贝等人的数据与错误解释必然性的信念偏差解释一致,而杜贝等人的信号检测模型并不符合他们的数据;(d)信念偏差不仅仅是一种反应偏差效应。

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