Department of Sociology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48106-1248, USA.
Demography. 2011 Feb;48(1):101-25. doi: 10.1007/s13524-010-0011-2.
This study examines whether children with a younger sibling whose birth was unintended experience larger declines in the quality of their home environment and larger increases in behavioral problems than children whose younger sibling's birth was intended. We use data from the NLSY79 to estimate cross-lag regression models that assess changes in the home environment and children's behavioral problems after the birth of a sibling (intended or unintended). Results are consistent with our hypotheses, finding that, indeed, unintended births have negative spillover effects. Compared with children whose sibling's birth was intended, both boys and girls whose sibling's birth was unintended experienced larger declines in the quality of their home environment, and boys had larger increases in behavioral problems. We also find some unexpected evidence that mistimed births may have larger negative effects than unwanted births. This deserves further research, and we offer some possible explanations that could guide those investigations.
这项研究考察了与那些弟弟妹妹的出生是计划内的孩子相比,那些弟弟妹妹的出生是计划外的孩子的家庭环境质量是否会下降更多,行为问题是否会增加更多。我们使用 NLSY79 数据来估计交叉滞后回归模型,以评估在兄弟姐妹(计划内或计划外)出生后家庭环境和儿童行为问题的变化。结果与我们的假设一致,确实发现意外生育有负面的溢出效应。与那些弟弟妹妹的出生是计划内的孩子相比,弟弟妹妹的出生是计划外的男孩和女孩的家庭环境质量都下降得更多,男孩的行为问题也更严重。我们还发现了一些意想不到的证据,表明时机不当的生育可能比不想要的生育有更大的负面影响。这值得进一步研究,我们提供了一些可能的解释,可以为这些研究提供指导。