Early prediction of fluoxetine response for Han Chinese inpatients with major depressive disorder.

The onset of antidepressant action is vital clinically. This study aimed to testify whether early symptom improvement can predict eventual treatment response at week 6 among depressive hospitalized patients taking fluoxetine. One hundred thirty-one hospitalized patients with major depressive disorder received 20 mg/d of fluoxetine for 6 weeks. Symptom severity was assessed by the 17-item Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HAMD-17) at weeks 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, and 6. Stable response was defined as a reduction of 50% or more in the HAMD-17 total score at weeks 4 and 6 of treatment. Receiver operating characteristic curve was used to determine the cutoff point of the percentage of HAMD-17 score reduction between stable responders and nonresponders at weeks 1, 2, 3, and 4. At weeks 1, 2, 3, and 4, HAMD-17 score reductions of 25%, 39%, 43%, and 50% seemed to be the optimal cutoff points for predicting eventual response. They provided a sensitivity of 78%, 86%, 91%, and 93% and a specificity of 61%, 74%, 76%, and 92%. The percentage of HAMD-17 reduction at week 4 excellently predicted final response at week 6. Patients with less than a 50% symptom reduction during the first 4 weeks of treatment are unlikely to reach a final stable response. Whether this model can be applied to establish a prediction system for other antidepressants or for outpatients warrants further research.