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运用死因推断技术(VER)判定死胎病因的有效性。

Validity of verbal autopsy for ascertaining the causes of stillbirth.

机构信息

School of Public Health, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, India.

出版信息

Bull World Health Organ. 2011 Jan 1;89(1):31-40. doi: 10.2471/BLT.10.076828. Epub 2010 Aug 30.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To validate the verbal autopsy tool for stillbirths of the World Health Organization (WHO) by using hospital diagnosis of the underlying cause of stillbirth (the gold standard) and to compare the fraction of stillbirths attributed to various specific causes through hospital assessment versus verbal autopsy.

METHODS

In a hospital in Chandigarh, we prospectively studied all stillbirths occurring from 15 April 2006 to 31 March 2008 whose cause was diagnosed within 2 days. All mothers had to be at least 24 weeks pregnant and live within 100 km of the hospital. For verbal autopsy, field workers visited mothers 4 to 6 weeks after the stillbirth. Autopsy results were reviewed by two independent obstetricians and disagreements were resolved by engaging a third expert. Causes of stillbirths as determined by hospital assessment and verbal autopsy were compared in frequency.

FINDINGS

Hospital assessment and verbal autopsy yielded the same top five underlying causes of stillbirth: pregnancy-induced hypertension (30%), antepartum haemorrhage (16%), underlying maternal illness (12%), congenital malformations (12%) and obstetric complications (10%). Overall diagnostic accuracy of verbal autopsy diagnosis versus hospital-based diagnosis for all five top causes of stillbirth was 64%. The areas under the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC) were, for congenital malformations, 0.91 (95% confidence interval, CI: 0.83-0.97); pre-gestational maternal illness, 0.75 (95% CI: 0.65-0.84); pregnancy-induced hypertension, 0.76 (95% CI: 0.69-0.81); antepartum haemorrhage, 0.76 (95% CI: 0.67-0.84) and obstetric complication, 0.82 (95% CI: 0.71-0.93).

CONCLUSION

The WHO verbal autopsy tool for stillbirth can provide reasonably good estimates of common underlying causes of stillbirth in resource-limited settings where a medically certified cause of stillbirth may not be available.

摘要

目的

通过使用医院对死产根本原因的诊断(金标准)来验证世界卫生组织(WHO)的死产死因推断工具,并比较通过医院评估与死因推断得出的各种具体死产原因的比例。

方法

在昌迪加尔的一家医院,我们前瞻性地研究了所有在 2006 年 4 月 15 日至 2008 年 3 月 31 日期间发生且在 2 天内确诊病因的死产病例。所有母亲都必须至少怀孕 24 周且居住在医院 100 公里范围内。对于死因推断,调查人员在死产后 4 至 6 周时对母亲进行家访。由两位独立的产科医生对尸检结果进行审核,如有分歧则邀请第三位专家参与解决。比较了通过医院评估和死因推断得出的死产原因的频率。

结果

医院评估和死因推断得出的死产前 5 位根本原因相同:妊娠高血压(30%)、产前出血(16%)、母体潜在疾病(12%)、先天性畸形(12%)和产科并发症(10%)。死因推断诊断与基于医院的所有 5 种主要死产原因诊断的总体诊断准确性为 64%。对于先天性畸形、孕前母体疾病、妊娠高血压、产前出血和产科并发症,受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)下面积分别为 0.91(95%置信区间,CI:0.83-0.97)、0.75(95%CI:0.65-0.84)、0.76(95%CI:0.69-0.81)、0.76(95%CI:0.67-0.84)和 0.82(95%CI:0.71-0.93)。

结论

在可能无法获得死产医学证明病因的资源有限环境中,WHO 的死产死因推断工具可以对常见死产根本原因进行合理的估计。

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