Farrington David P, Ttofi Maria M
Institute of Criminology, Cambridge University, Cambridge, UK.
Crim Behav Ment Health. 2011 Apr;21(2):90-8. doi: 10.1002/cbm.801.
The main aim of this paper is to investigate to what extent self-reported bullying at age 14 predicts later offending, violence and other life outcomes.
In the Cambridge Study in Delinquent Development, 411 South London males were followed up from age 8-10 to age 48-50, using repeated face-to-face interviews and searches of criminal records.
Bullying at age 14 predicted violent convictions between ages 15 and 20, self-reported violence at age 15-18, low job status at age 18, drug use at age 27-32, and an unsuccessful life at age 48. These results held up after controlling for explanatory and behavioural childhood risk factors at age 8-10.
Bullying might increase the likelihood of these later outcomes. Interventions that decrease bullying would most likely be followed by decreases in violent offending, drug use, and unsuccessful lives.
本文的主要目的是调查14岁时自我报告的欺凌行为在多大程度上能够预测日后的犯罪、暴力及其他生活结局。
在“剑桥青少年犯罪发展研究”中，对411名伦敦南部男性从8至10岁追踪至48至50岁，采用多次面对面访谈及查阅犯罪记录的方式。
14岁时的欺凌行为能够预测15至20岁时的暴力犯罪定罪、15至18岁时自我报告的暴力行为、18岁时的低职业地位、27至32岁时的吸毒行为以及48岁时不如意的生活。在控制了8至10岁时的解释性及行为性童年风险因素后，这些结果依然成立。
欺凌行为可能会增加出现这些日后结局的可能性。减少欺凌行为的干预措施很可能会随之带来暴力犯罪、吸毒行为及不如意生活的减少。
