Department of Mathematics, University of Guilan, Rasht, P.O. Box: 1914, Iran.
Infect Genet Evol. 2011 Aug;11(6):1225-8. doi: 10.1016/j.meegid.2011.03.001. Epub 2011 Mar 21.
In this paper we introduce a new technical development of branching processes that can potentially model spread of epidemics by including various stages of infection. In fact, we present an epidemic model that the disease spreads from an individual to another one in such a way that the ability of individual u to infect a susceptible individual depends only on how long u has been infected. For analysis of this model, we introduce a new and special model of the Crump-Mode-Jagers branching processes in discrete time and obtain some of its fundamental properties.
在本文中,我们引入了一个分枝过程的新技术发展,该技术可以通过包括传染病的各个阶段来潜在地模拟传染病的传播。事实上,我们提出了一种传染病模型,即疾病从一个个体传播到另一个个体,个体 u 感染易感染个体的能力仅取决于 u 感染的时间长短。为了分析这个模型,我们在离散时间中引入了一个新的和特殊的 Crump-Mode-Jagers 分枝过程模型,并得到了它的一些基本性质。