Blanco Fernando, Matute Helena, Vadillo Miguel A
Department of Psychology, University of Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
Q J Exp Psychol (Hove). 2011 Jul;64(7):1290-304. doi: 10.1080/17470218.2011.552727.
It is well known that certain variables can bias judgements about the perceived contingency between an action and an outcome, making them depart from the normative predictions. For instance, previous studies have proven that the activity level or probability of responding, P(R), is a crucial variable that can affect these judgements in objectively noncontingent situations. A possible account for the P(R) effect is based on the differential exposure to actual contingencies during the training phase, which is in turn presumably produced by individual differences in participants' P(R). The current two experiments replicate the P(R) effect in a free-response paradigm, and show that participants' judgements are better predicted by P(R) than by the actual contingency to which they expose themselves. Besides, both experiments converge with previous empirical data, showing a persistent bias that does not vanish as training proceeds. These findings contrast with the preasymptotic and transitory effect predicted by several theoretical models.
众所周知,某些变量会使人们对行动与结果之间感知到的偶然性的判断产生偏差,使其偏离规范预测。例如,先前的研究已经证明,反应的活动水平或概率P(R)是一个关键变量,在客观上不存在偶然性的情况下会影响这些判断。对P(R)效应的一种可能解释是基于训练阶段对实际偶然性的不同暴露,而这反过来可能是由参与者P(R)的个体差异产生的。当前的两个实验在自由反应范式中重现了P(R)效应,并表明参与者的判断由P(R)比由他们自身所暴露的实际偶然性能得到更好的预测。此外,两个实验都与先前的实证数据一致,显示出一种持续的偏差,这种偏差不会随着训练的进行而消失。这些发现与几个理论模型预测的渐近前和短暂效应形成对比。