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减少因果错觉:是动机问题还是信息问题?

Reducing the causal illusion: a question of motivation or of information?

作者信息

Vinas Aranzazu, Blanco Fernando, Matute Helena

机构信息

Department of Psychology, University of Deusto, Bilbao, Spain.

Department of Social Psychology, University of Granada, Granada, Spain.

出版信息

R Soc Open Sci. 2025 Jun 18;12(6):250082. doi: 10.1098/rsos.250082. eCollection 2025 Jun.

Abstract

The causal illusion is a cognitive bias that involves believing that one event causes another when it does not. It has negative consequences in different spheres of life, including health. Therefore, diverse interventions have been designed to reduce it. The more common ones are educational interventions. These include different elements related to improving both, motivation and information. We wanted to explore which of the two factors was more important for their effectiveness. We first used financial incentives to promote motivation (experiments 1a and 1b), but did not find them effective. Second, we used debiasing instructions about what has to be done to infer the causal relationship between two events accurately. This effectively reduced the causal illusion when the circumstances were in place for the illusion to be high (experiment 2). We discuss the results and their theoretical and practical implications.

摘要

因果错觉是一种认知偏差,指的是人们认为一个事件导致了另一个事件,而实际上并非如此。它在生活的不同领域都会产生负面影响,包括健康领域。因此,人们设计了各种干预措施来减少这种错觉。较为常见的是教育干预措施。这些措施包括与提高动机和信息相关的不同要素。我们想探究这两个因素中哪一个对其有效性更为重要。我们首先使用经济激励措施来提升动机(实验1a和1b),但并未发现它们有效。其次,我们使用了关于如何准确推断两个事件之间因果关系的去偏性指导。当产生错觉的情况较多时,这有效地减少了因果错觉(实验2)。我们讨论了研究结果及其理论和实际意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0fcc/12173491/28acc117187f/rsos.250082.f001.jpg

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