University of Chicago Medical Center, 5841 S Maryland Ave, Chicago, IL 60637, USA.
J Clin Oncol. 2011 May 1;29(13):1736-43. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2010.31.9004. Epub 2011 Mar 28.
For patients who elect to have prostate cancer screening, the optimal time to discontinue screening is unknown. Our objective was to describe rates and predictors of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening among older men in the United States.
Data were extracted from the population-based 2000 and 2005 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS). PSA screening was defined as a PSA test as part of a routine exam within the past year. Demographic, socioeconomic, and functional characteristics were collected, and a validated 5-year estimated life expectancy was calculated. Age-specific rates of PSA screening were determined, and sampling weight-adjusted multivariate regressions were fitted to determine predictors of screening among men age 70 years or older.
The PSA screening rate was 24.0% in men age 50 to 54 years, and it increased steadily with age until a peak of 45.5% among age 70 to 74 years. Screening rates then gradually declined by age, and 24.6% of men age 85 years or older reported being screened. Among men age 70 years or older, screening rates varied by estimated 5-year life expectancy: rates were 47.3% in men with high life expectancies (≤ 15% probability of 5-year mortality), 39.2% in men with intermediate life expectancies (16% to 48% probability), and 30.7% in men with low life expectancies (> 48% probability; P < .001). In multivariate analysis, estimated life expectancy and age remained independently associated with PSA screening (P < .001 for each).
Rates of PSA screening in the United States are associated with age and estimated life expectancy, but excessive PSA screening in elderly men with limited life expectancies remains a significant problem. The merits and limitations of PSA should be discussed with all patients considering prostate cancer screening.
对于选择进行前列腺癌筛查的患者,尚不清楚何时停止筛查最佳。本研究旨在描述美国老年男性中前列腺特异性抗原(PSA)筛查的发生率和预测因素。
数据来源于基于人群的 2000 年和 2005 年全国健康访谈调查(NHIS)。PSA 筛查定义为过去 1 年中作为常规检查的一部分进行的 PSA 检测。收集了人口统计学、社会经济和功能特征,并计算了经过验证的 5 年预期寿命。确定了年龄特异性的 PSA 筛查率,并对年龄在 70 岁及以上的男性进行了抽样权重调整的多变量回归分析,以确定筛查的预测因素。
50 至 54 岁男性的 PSA 筛查率为 24.0%,随着年龄的增长,筛查率稳步上升,在 70 至 74 岁年龄段达到 45.5%的峰值。随后,筛查率随年龄逐渐下降,24.6%的 85 岁及以上男性报告接受了筛查。在年龄在 70 岁及以上的男性中,筛查率因估计的 5 年预期寿命而异:预期寿命高(5 年死亡率概率≤15%)的男性中,筛查率为 47.3%;预期寿命中等(16%至 48%的概率)的男性中,筛查率为 39.2%;预期寿命低(概率>48%)的男性中,筛查率为 30.7%(P<.001)。多变量分析显示,预期寿命和年龄与 PSA 筛查独立相关(P<.001)。
美国的 PSA 筛查率与年龄和预期寿命相关,但在预期寿命有限的老年男性中过度进行 PSA 筛查仍然是一个严重的问题。在考虑前列腺癌筛查时,应与所有患者讨论 PSA 的优缺点。