Romieu I, Berlin J A, Colditz G
Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts.
Cancer. 1990 Dec 1;66(11):2253-63. doi: 10.1002/1097-0142(19901201)66:11<2253::aid-cncr2820661102>3.0.co;2-g.
To evaluate the relation between use of oral contraceptives and the incidence of breast cancer, the authors reviewed the epidemiologic literature and used quantitative methods to summarize the data. Study results for any use of oral contraceptives were pooled using a model that accounted for both interstudy and intrastudy variability. The authors also explored interstudy variability and modeled a duration-effect relation between oral contraceptive use and breast cancer. Case-control and follow-up studies were considered separately. Overall, the authors observed no increase in the risk of breast cancer for women who had ever used oral contraceptives, even after a long duration of use. These results were consistent across study design. However, data combined from case-control studies revealed a statistically significant positive trend (P = 0.001) in the risk of premenopausal breast cancer for women exposed to oral contraceptives for longer duration. This risk was predominant among women who used oral contraceptives for at least 4 years before their first term pregnancy (relative risk = 1.72; 95% confidence interval = 1.36 to 2.19). Additional study is required to determine whether this finding in a subgroup of exposed women is confirmed and whether the risk remains increased with advancing age.
为评估口服避孕药的使用与乳腺癌发病率之间的关系,作者回顾了流行病学文献并采用定量方法汇总数据。使用一个考虑了研究间和研究内变异性的模型,汇总了任何使用口服避孕药的研究结果。作者还探讨了研究间变异性,并建立了口服避孕药使用与乳腺癌之间的持续时间-效应关系模型。病例对照研究和随访研究分别进行了考量。总体而言,作者观察到,即使长期使用口服避孕药,女性患乳腺癌的风险也没有增加。这些结果在不同研究设计中是一致的。然而,病例对照研究合并的数据显示,接触口服避孕药时间较长的女性患绝经前乳腺癌的风险存在统计学上显著的正趋势(P = 0.001)。这种风险在首次足月妊娠前至少使用口服避孕药4年的女性中最为显著(相对风险 = 1.72;95%置信区间 = 1.36至2.19)。需要进一步研究来确定暴露女性亚组中的这一发现是否得到证实,以及随着年龄增长风险是否仍然增加。