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中国沈阳细颗粒物空气污染与每日死亡率。

Fine particulate air pollution and daily mortality in Shenyang, China.

机构信息

Shenyang Institute of Atmospheric Environment, China Meteorological Administration, Shenyang, China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2011 Jun 1;409(13):2473-7. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2011.03.017. Epub 2011 Apr 9.

Abstract

Fine particulate matter (PM₂.₅) is not a criteria pollutant in China, and few studies were conducted in the country to investigate the health impact of PM₂.₅. In this study, we did a time-stratified case-crossover analysis to examine the association between PM₂.₅ and daily mortality in Shenyang, an industrial center in northeast China. Daily mortality, air pollution and weather data from August 1, 2006 to December 31, 2008 in Shenyang were collected. A time-stratified case-crossover approach was used to estimate the association of PM₂.₅ with both total and cause-specific mortality. Controls were selected as matched days of the week in the same month. Potential effect modifiers, such as age, gender, and season, were also examined. We found significant associations between PM₂.₅ and daily mortality in Shenyang. A 10 μg/m³ increment in the 2-day moving average (lag 01) concentrations of PM₂.₅ corresponded to 0.49% (95% CI: 0.19%, 0.79%), 0.53% (95% CI: 0.09%, 0.97%), and 0.97% (95% CI: 0.01%, 1.94%) increase of total, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality, respectively. The associations appeared to be stronger in older people (aged ≥ 75 years), in females and during the warm season. To our knowledge, this is the longest PM₂.₅ health study in time duration in China. Our findings provide new information on the adverse health effects of PM₂.₅, and may have implications for environmental policy making and standard setting in China.

摘要

细颗粒物(PM₂.₅)在中国不是标准污染物,因此国内很少有研究调查 PM₂.₅对健康的影响。本研究采用时间分层病例交叉分析方法,探讨了中国东北部工业中心沈阳市 PM₂.₅与每日死亡率之间的关系。收集了 2006 年 8 月 1 日至 2008 年 12 月 31 日沈阳市的每日死亡率、空气污染和气象数据。采用时间分层病例交叉方法估计 PM₂.₅与总死亡率和死因特异性死亡率之间的关联。对照组为同月同日的匹配日。还检查了潜在的效应修饰剂,如年龄、性别和季节。我们发现沈阳市 PM₂.₅与每日死亡率之间存在显著关联。PM₂.₅浓度的 2 天移动平均值(滞后 01)增加 10 μg/m³,总死亡率、心血管死亡率和呼吸死亡率分别增加 0.49%(95%CI:0.19%,0.79%)、0.53%(95%CI:0.09%,0.97%)和 0.97%(95%CI:0.01%,1.94%)。这些关联在老年人(年龄≥75 岁)、女性和温暖季节中似乎更强。据我们所知,这是中国 PM₂.₅健康研究中时间最长的一项研究。我们的研究结果提供了 PM₂.₅对健康产生不良影响的新信息,可能对中国的环境政策制定和标准制定具有重要意义。

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