Department of Pesticide Regulation, California Environmental Protection Agency, Sacramento, California, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2011 Apr 1;6(4):e18234. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0018234.
Field-scale environmental models have been widely used in aquatic exposure assessments of pesticides. Those models usually require a large set of input parameters and separate simulations for each pesticide in evaluation. In this study, a simple use-exposure relationship is developed based on regression analysis of stochastic simulation results generated from the Pesticide Root-Zone Model (PRZM). The developed mathematical relationship estimates edge-of-field peak concentrations of pesticides from aerobic soil metabolism half-life (AERO), organic carbon-normalized soil sorption coefficient (KOC), and application rate (RATE). In a case study of California crop scenarios, the relationships explained 90-95% of the variances in the peak concentrations of dissolved pesticides as predicted by PRZM simulations for a 30-year period. KOC was identified as the governing parameter in determining the relative magnitudes of pesticide exposures in a given crop scenario. The results of model application also indicated that the effects of chemical fate processes such as partitioning and degradation on pesticide exposure were similar among crop scenarios, while the cross-scenario variations were mainly associated with the landscape characteristics, such as organic carbon contents and curve numbers. With a minimum set of input data, the use-exposure relationships proposed in this study could be used in screening procedures for potential water quality impacts from the off-site movement of pesticides.
现场规模环境模型已广泛应用于农药的水生暴露评估。这些模型通常需要大量的输入参数,并对评估中的每种农药进行单独模拟。在本研究中,基于从农药根区模型(PRZM)生成的随机模拟结果的回归分析,开发了一种简单的使用-暴露关系。所开发的数学关系从好氧土壤代谢半衰期(AERO)、有机碳归一化土壤吸附系数(KOC)和施用量(RATE)估算田间边缘处的农药峰值浓度。在加利福尼亚作物情景的案例研究中,该关系解释了 PRZM 模拟预测的 30 年期间溶解农药峰值浓度的 90-95%的方差。KOC 被确定为决定给定作物情景中农药暴露相对大小的控制参数。模型应用的结果还表明,化学命运过程(如分配和降解)对农药暴露的影响在作物情景之间是相似的,而跨情景的变化主要与景观特征(如有机碳含量和曲线数)有关。使用最少的输入数据,本研究提出的使用-暴露关系可用于筛选农药场外迁移对水质潜在影响的筛选程序。