AIDS and Society Research Unit, Centre for Social Science Research, University of Cape Town, Private Bag, Upper Campus, Rondebosch, Cape Town 7701, South Africa.
AIDS Behav. 2012 Apr;16(3):761-73. doi: 10.1007/s10461-011-9958-2.
This paper uses multivariate logistic regressions to explore: (1) potential socio-economic, cultural, psychological and political determinants of AIDS conspiracy beliefs among young adults in Cape Town; and (2) whether these beliefs matter for unsafe sex. Membership of a religious organisation reduced the odds of believing AIDS origin conspiracy theories by more than a third, whereas serious psychological distress more than doubled it and belief in witchcraft tripled the odds among Africans. Political factors mattered, but in ways that differed by gender. Tertiary education and relatively high household income reduced the odds of believing AIDS conspiracies for African women (but not men) and trust in President Mbeki's health minister (relative to her successor) increased the odds sevenfold for African men (but not women). Never having heard of the Treatment Action Campaign (TAC), the pro-science activist group that opposed Mbeki on AIDS, tripled the odds of believing AIDS conspiracies for African women (but not men). Controlling for demographic, attitudinal and relationship variables, the odds of using a condom were halved amongst female African AIDS conspiracy believers, whereas for African men, never having heard of TAC and holding AIDS denialist beliefs were the key determinants of unsafe sex.
本文采用多元逻辑回归分析方法，探讨了开普敦青年群体艾滋病阴谋论信仰的潜在社会经济、文化、心理和政治决定因素：（1）这些因素与不安全性行为之间的关联。加入宗教组织使艾滋病起源阴谋论信仰的可能性降低了三分之一以上，而严重的心理困扰使可能性增加了一倍以上，巫术信仰使非洲人的可能性增加了两倍。政治因素很重要，但在性别方面存在差异。对于非洲女性（而非男性），接受高等教育和相对较高的家庭收入降低了对艾滋病阴谋的信仰的可能性，而对姆贝基总统卫生部长（相对于她的继任者）的信任则使非洲男性的可能性增加了七倍。从未听说过反对姆贝基的艾滋病科学活动家组织“治疗行动运动”（TAC），这使非洲女性（而非男性）相信艾滋病阴谋的可能性增加了两倍。控制人口统计学、态度和关系变量后，女性非洲艾滋病阴谋论信仰者使用避孕套的可能性减半，而对于非洲男性，从未听说过 TAC 和持有艾滋病否认论信仰是不安全性行为的关键决定因素。
