National Centre for Animal Health, Department of Livestock, Ministry of Agriculture and Forests, Thimphu, Bhutan, Australia.
Prev Vet Med. 2011 Jul 1;100(3-4):231-6. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2011.04.013. Epub 2011 May 13.
Cross sectional serological surveys were conducted between March and December 2009 to determine the distribution of foot-and-mouth disease and also to validate the current passive surveillance system in Bhutan. A total of 1909 sera collected from cattle, goats, sheep, and pigs, from 485 herds in 106 villages, were tested using a foot-and-mouth disease non-structural protein 3ABC ELISA. The true prevalence at the animal-level for all species was 15% (95% CI: 13.5, 16.7) using the sensitivity (97.2%) and specificity (99.5%) for cattle. The true prevalence for cattle, goats, sheep and pigs were 17.6 (95% CI: 15.6, 19.5), 11.9% (95% CI: 5.6, 18.3), 11.9% (95% CI: 1.3, 25.1), and 1.9% (95% CI: 0.0, 3.8), respectively. The sub-districts that shared border with India had significantly (p=0.03) higher seroprevalence than the interior sub-districts. Villages located in the sub-tropical zone had significantly (p<0.0001) higher seroprevalence than those located at high altitude zones. Herds with known outbreaks of FMD were 3.6 times more likely (p<0.001) to be seropositive than those with no history of outbreaks of FMD. The study showed the usefulness of population-based serological surveys in detecting circulation of active infection in populations which were, until now, considered to be free of disease based on a passive surveillance system. The study also highlighted the benefits of conducting serological and questionnaire surveys, simultaneously, to ascertain the infection status of herds and animals. Some of the findings from this study could be considered for strengthening of the current FMD control program in Bhutan.
2009 年 3 月至 12 月期间进行了横断面血清学调查,以确定口蹄疫的分布情况,并验证不丹当前的被动监测系统。使用口蹄疫非结构蛋白 3ABC ELISA 检测了来自 485 个畜群的 1909 份牛、山羊、绵羊和猪血清,这些畜群来自 106 个村庄。使用牛的敏感性(97.2%)和特异性(99.5%),所有物种的动物水平真实患病率为 15%(95%CI:13.5,16.7)。牛、山羊、绵羊和猪的真实患病率分别为 17.6%(95%CI:15.6,19.5)、11.9%(95%CI:5.6,18.3)、11.9%(95%CI:1.3,25.1)和 1.9%(95%CI:0.0,3.8)。与印度接壤的分区的血清阳性率显著(p=0.03)高于内陆分区。位于亚热带地区的村庄的血清阳性率显著(p<0.0001)高于高海拔地区的村庄。已知暴发口蹄疫的畜群发生血清阳性的可能性是无口蹄疫暴发史畜群的 3.6 倍(p<0.001)。该研究表明,基于人口的血清学调查在检测基于被动监测系统被认为无疾病的人群中活跃感染的传播方面是有用的。该研究还强调了同时进行血清学和问卷调查以确定畜群和动物的感染状况的好处。本研究的一些发现可考虑用于加强不丹当前的口蹄疫控制计划。