Department of Computer Science, Hong Kong Baptist University, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong.
J Med Syst. 2011 Oct;35(5):1153-64. doi: 10.1007/s10916-011-9734-x. Epub 2011 May 24.
Vaccination is a commonly-used epidemic control strategy based on direct antiviral immunization and indirect reduction of virus transmissibility. There exist three factors related to the efficacy of vaccine deployment; they are: (1) vaccine coverage, (2) releasing time, and (3) deployment method. Yet, the exact impacts of these factors still remain to be systematically studied. In our work, we examine the effectiveness of vaccination-based epidemic control in adjusting the composition of susceptible and infectious individuals (referred to as composite structure) in a host population. We develop a modified compartmental infection model for characterizing virus spreading dynamics in several age-specific host populations (one host population for each age group). We consider vaccine deployment schedules that correspond to different settings of the three deployment factors. Based on our simulation-based experiments, we evaluate the impacts of deployment factors on virus spreading dynamics as well as their implications for an effective vaccination strategy.
疫苗接种是一种常用的传染病控制策略,基于直接抗病毒免疫和间接降低病毒传播性。疫苗部署的效果与三个因素有关,它们是:(1)疫苗覆盖率,(2)释放时间,和(3)部署方法。然而,这些因素的确切影响仍有待系统研究。在我们的工作中,我们研究了基于疫苗接种的传染病控制措施在调整宿主群体中易感和感染个体的组成(称为复合结构)方面的有效性。我们开发了一个改进的房室感染模型,用于描述在几个年龄特定的宿主群体中病毒传播动态(每个年龄组一个宿主群体)。我们考虑了与三个部署因素的不同设置相对应的疫苗部署时间表。基于我们的模拟实验,我们评估了部署因素对病毒传播动态的影响及其对有效疫苗接种策略的意义。