Texas A&M University, Hazard Reduction & Recovery Center, College Station, TX, USA.
Risk Anal. 2012 Apr;32(4):616-32. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01647.x. Epub 2011 Jun 20.
The Protective Action Decision Model (PADM) is a multistage model that is based on findings from research on people's responses to environmental hazards and disasters. The PADM integrates the processing of information derived from social and environmental cues with messages that social sources transmit through communication channels to those at risk. The PADM identifies three critical predecision processes (reception, attention, and comprehension of warnings or exposure, attention, and interpretation of environmental/social cues)--that precede all further processing. The revised model identifies three core perceptions--threat perceptions, protective action perceptions, and stakeholder perceptions--that form the basis for decisions about how to respond to an imminent or long-term threat. The outcome of the protective action decision-making process, together with situational facilitators and impediments, produces a behavioral response. In addition to describing the revised model and the research on which it is based, this article describes three applications (development of risk communication programs, evacuation modeling, and adoption of long-term hazard adjustments) and identifies some of the research needed to address unresolved issues.
保护行动决策模型(PADM)是一个多阶段模型,它基于人们对环境危害和灾害的反应研究的结果。PADM 将从社会和环境线索中获取的信息与社会来源通过沟通渠道向处于危险中的人传达的信息相结合。PADM 确定了三个关键的决策前过程(接收、关注和理解警告或暴露、关注和解释环境/社会线索)——这些过程先于所有进一步的处理。修订后的模型确定了三个核心感知——威胁感知、保护行动感知和利益相关者感知——这是对如何应对即将发生或长期威胁做出反应的决策基础。保护行动决策过程的结果,以及情境促进因素和障碍,会产生行为反应。除了描述修订后的模型及其基础研究外,本文还描述了三个应用(风险沟通计划的制定、疏散建模和长期灾害调整的采用),并确定了为解决未解决的问题所需的一些研究。