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探索无线紧急警报是否有助于阻止新冠病毒的传播。

Exploring whether wireless emergency alerts can help impede the spread of Covid-19.

作者信息

Bean Hamilton, Grevstad Nels, Meyer Abigail, Koutsoukos Alex

机构信息

Department of Communication University of Colorado Denver Denver Colorado USA.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics Metropolitan State University of Denver Denver Colorado USA.

出版信息

J Conting Crisis Manag. 2022 Jun;30(2):185-203. doi: 10.1111/1468-5973.12376. Epub 2021 Sep 30.

Abstract

Officials worldwide have sought ways to effectively use mobile technology to communicate health information to help thwart the spread of Covid-19. This study offers a preliminary exploration of whether state-level ( = 6) and local-level ( = 53) wireless emergency alert (WEA) messages might contribute to impeding the spread of Covid-19 in the United States. The study compares changes in reported rates of infections and deaths between states and localities that issued WEA messages in March and April of 2020 with states that did not. Small sample sizes and differences in the rates of Covid-19 spread prohibit robust statistical analysis and detection of clear effect sizes, but estimated effects are generally in the right direction. Combining statistical analysis with preliminary categorization of both WEA message content and social media themes suggests that a positive effect from WEA messages cannot be ruled out.

摘要

全球各地的官员都在寻求有效利用移动技术来传播健康信息,以帮助遏制新冠病毒的传播。本研究初步探讨了州级(n = 6)和地方级(n = 53)的无线紧急警报(WEA)信息是否有助于在美国阻止新冠病毒的传播。该研究比较了在2020年3月和4月发布WEA信息的州和地方与未发布的州之间报告的感染率和死亡率的变化。由于样本量小以及新冠病毒传播率的差异,无法进行有力的统计分析和明确效应大小的检测,但估计效应总体上方向正确。将统计分析与WEA信息内容和社交媒体主题的初步分类相结合表明,不能排除WEA信息产生积极效果的可能性。

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