Valenti School of Communication, University of Houston, Houston, TX, USA.
School of Advertising & Public Relations, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN, USA.
Risk Anal. 2018 Feb;38(2):333-344. doi: 10.1111/risa.12845. Epub 2017 Jun 14.
Studies are continuously performed to improve risk communication campaign designs to better prepare residents to act in the safest manner during an emergency. To that end, this article investigates the predictive ability of the protective action decision model (PADM), which links environmental and social cues, predecision processes (attention, exposure, and comprehension), and risk decision perceptions (threat, alternative protective actions, and stakeholder norms) with protective action decision making. This current quasi-longitudinal study of residents (N = 400 for each year) in a high-risk (chemical release) petrochemical manufacturing community investigated whether PADM core risk perceptions predict protective action decision making. Telephone survey data collected at four intervals (1995, 1998, 2002, 2012) reveal that perceptions of protective actions and stakeholder norms, but not of threat, currently predict protective action decision making (intention to shelter in place). Of significance, rather than threat perceptions, perception of Wally Wise Guy (a spokes-character who advocates shelter in place) correlates with perceptions of protective action, stakeholder norms, and protective action decision making. Wally's response-efficacy advice predicts residents' behavioral intentions to shelter in place, thereby offering contextually sensitive support and refinement for PADM.
研究不断进行,以改进风险沟通活动的设计,使居民在紧急情况下更好地采取最安全的行动。为此,本文调查了保护行动决策模型(PADM)的预测能力,该模型将环境和社会线索、决策前过程(注意力、暴露和理解)以及风险决策感知(威胁、替代保护行动和利益相关者规范)与保护行动决策联系起来。本研究对高风险(化学物质泄漏)石化制造社区的居民(每年各 400 名)进行了准纵向研究,以调查 PADM 的核心风险感知是否可以预测保护行动决策。在四个时间点(1995 年、1998 年、2002 年和 2012 年)通过电话调查收集的数据显示,保护行动和利益相关者规范的感知,但不是威胁,目前可以预测保护行动决策(就地避难的意图)。重要的是,与威胁感知相比,Wally Wise Guy(一个提倡就地避难的代言角色)的感知与保护行动、利益相关者规范和保护行动决策的感知相关。Wally 的应对效能建议预测了居民就地避难的行为意图,从而为 PADM 提供了有上下文敏感的支持和改进。