Department of Management Science and Engineering, Stanford University, California, USA.
AIDS. 2011 Sep 10;25(14):1779-87. doi: 10.1097/QAD.0b013e328349f067.
Acute HIV infection often causes influenza-like illness (ILI) and is associated with high infectivity. We estimated the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of strategies to identify and treat acute HIV infection in men who have sex with men (MSM) in the USA.
Dynamic model of HIV transmission and progression.
We evaluated three testing approaches: viral load testing for individuals with ILI, expanded screening with antibody testing, and expanded screening with antibody and viral load testing. We included treatment with antiretroviral therapy for individuals identified as acutely infected.
New HIV infections, discounted quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios.
At the present rate of HIV-antibody testing, we estimated that 538,000 new infections will occur among MSM over the next 20 years. Expanding antibody screening coverage to 90% of MSM annually reduces new infections by 2.8% and costs US$ 12,582 per QALY gained. Symptom-based viral load testing with ILI is more expensive than expanded antibody screening, but is more effective and costs US$ 22,786 per QALY gained. Combining expanded antibody screening with symptom-based viral load testing prevents twice as many infections compared to expanded antibody screening alone, and costs US$ 29,923 per QALY gained. Adding viral load testing to all annual HIV tests costs more than US$ 100,000 per QALY gained.
Use of HIV viral load testing in MSM with ILI prevents more infections than does expanded annual antibody screening alone and is inexpensive relative to other screening interventions. Clinicians should consider symptom-based viral load testing in MSM, in addition to encouraging annual antibody screening.
急性 HIV 感染常引起类流感疾病(ILI),并具有较高的传染性。我们评估了在美国男男性行为者(MSM)中识别和治疗急性 HIV 感染的策略的有效性和成本效益。
HIV 传播和进展的动态模型。
我们评估了三种检测方法:有 ILI 症状的个体进行病毒载量检测、扩大抗体检测筛查、以及扩大抗体和病毒载量检测筛查。我们包括了对被确定为急性感染的个体进行抗逆转录病毒治疗。
新的 HIV 感染、折扣后的质量调整生命年(QALYs)和成本,以及增量成本效益比。
按照目前 HIV 抗体检测率,我们估计在未来 20 年内,MSM 中将有 538,000 例新感染。将抗体筛查覆盖率扩大到每年 90%,可使新感染减少 2.8%,每获得一个 QALY 的成本为 12,582 美元。基于症状的病毒载量检测比扩大抗体筛查更昂贵,但更有效,每获得一个 QALY 的成本为 22,786 美元。将扩大的抗体筛查与基于症状的病毒载量检测相结合,可使感染减少一倍,每获得一个 QALY 的成本为 29,923 美元。将病毒载量检测添加到所有年度 HIV 检测中,每获得一个 QALY 的成本超过 100,000 美元。
在有 ILI 症状的 MSM 中使用 HIV 病毒载量检测可预防更多的感染,比单独扩大年度抗体筛查更有效,且相对其他筛查干预措施成本更低。临床医生应考虑在 MSM 中进行基于症状的病毒载量检测,除了鼓励进行年度抗体筛查。