Erdem Hakan, Tetik Ahmet, Arun Ozgur, Besirbellioglu Bulent Ahmet, Coskun Omer, Eyigun Can Polat
Department of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, Kasimpasa Hospital, Kasimpasa-Istanbul, Turkey.
Scand J Infect Dis. 2011 Sep;43(9):690-5. doi: 10.3109/00365548.2011.577801. Epub 2011 Jul 8.
The aim of this study, which evaluated historical data, was to delineate the probable impacts of infectious diseases on human populations under extraordinary circumstances. The second goal was to disclose the mortality rates for infectious diseases in the absence of antibiotics.
The Third Ottoman Army records at the Turkish General Staff Military History and Strategic Study Directorate were studied retrospectively for the period between March 1915 and February 1916.
For the Third Ottoman Army, the number of infection-related deaths over the single-year period was 23,601. Malaria, relapsing fever and dysentery were the most common infections. In that pre-antibiotic era, the highest mortality rates were seen for cholera (80%), pulmonary tuberculosis (58%) and typhoid fever (51%). However, typhus had the maximum share in soldier deaths (6053 soldiers). The rate of vector-borne infections peaked in the summer of 1915, while the frequency of respiratory tract infections was highest in the colder months. In contrast, gastrointestinal tract infections appeared to maintain a steady state throughout the year.
If the wartime data for 1915 are accepted to provide a model for extraordinary circumstances in the 21st century, vector-borne, respiratory tract and gastrointestinal infections can be accepted as the challenging issues with significant mortality.
本研究旨在评估历史数据,以描绘在特殊情况下传染病对人群可能产生的影响。第二个目标是揭示在没有抗生素的情况下传染病的死亡率。
回顾性研究了土耳其总参谋部军事历史与战略研究局保存的1915年3月至1916年2月期间第三奥斯曼军队的记录。
对于第三奥斯曼军队,在这一年期间与感染相关的死亡人数为23,601人。疟疾、回归热和痢疾是最常见的感染疾病。在那个没有抗生素的时代,霍乱(80%)、肺结核(58%)和伤寒(51%)的死亡率最高。然而,斑疹伤寒导致的士兵死亡人数最多(6053名士兵)。媒介传播感染率在1915年夏季达到峰值,而呼吸道感染在较寒冷的月份最为频繁。相比之下,胃肠道感染似乎全年保持稳定状态。
如果将1915年的战时数据视为21世纪特殊情况的一个模型,那么媒介传播、呼吸道和胃肠道感染可被视为具有重大死亡率的挑战性问题。