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极端温度对中国上海医院入院的影响。

Impact of extreme temperature on hospital admission in Shanghai, China.

机构信息

School of Public Health, Key Lab of Public Health Safety of the Ministry of Education, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2011 Sep 1;409(19):3634-7. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2011.06.042. Epub 2011 Jul 12.

Abstract

No previous study exists in China examining the impact of extreme temperature on morbidity outcomes. In this study, we investigated the impact of heat waves and cold spells on hospital admission in Shanghai, China. Daily hospital admission data between January 1, 2005 and December 31, 2008 were collected from the Shanghai Health Insurance Bureau. The heat wave was defined as a period of at least 7 consecutive days with daily maximum temperature above 35.0 °C and daily average temperatures above the 97th percentile during the study period. The cold spell was defined as a period of at least 7 consecutive days with daily maximum temperature and daily average temperatures below the 3rd percentile during the study period. We calculated excess cases of hospitalization and rate ratios (RRs) to estimate the impacts of both heat wave and cold spell on hospital admission. We identified one heat wave period (from 24 July to 2 August, 2007) and one cold spell period (from 28 January to 3 February, 2008) between 2005 and 2008. The heat wave was associated with 2% (95% CI: 1%-4%), 8% (95%CI: 5%-11%), and 6% (95%CI: 0%-11%) increase of total, cardiovascular and respiratory hospital admission. The cold spell was associated with 38% (95%CI: 35%, 40%), 33% (95%CI: 28%, 37%) and 32% (95%CI: 24%, 40%) increase of total, cardiovascular and respiratory hospital admission. The differences between heat wave and cold spell-related hospital admission were statistically significant for all causes and cardiovascular causes, but not for respiratory causes. In conclusion, both heat wave and cold spell were associated with increased risk of hospital admissions in Shanghai. Cold spell seemed to have a larger impact on hospital admission than heat wave. Public health programs should be tailored to prevent extreme temperature-related health problems in the city.

摘要

在中国,尚无研究考察极端温度对发病结果的影响。本研究旨在探讨热浪和寒潮对中国上海的住院入院的影响。我们收集了 2005 年 1 月 1 日至 2008 年 12 月 31 日期间上海医保局的每日住院入院数据。热浪被定义为至少连续 7 天,每日最高温度高于 35.0°C,且每日平均温度高于研究期间第 97 百分位数。寒潮被定义为至少连续 7 天,每日最高温度和平均温度低于研究期间第 3 百分位数。我们计算了超额住院人数和率比 (RR),以评估热浪和寒潮对住院入院的影响。我们确定了 2005 年至 2008 年期间的一个热浪期(2007 年 7 月 24 日至 8 月 2 日)和一个寒潮期(2008 年 1 月 28 日至 2 月 3 日)。热浪与总住院、心血管和呼吸系统入院的 2%(95%CI:1%-4%)、8%(95%CI:5%-11%)和 6%(95%CI:0%-11%)的增加有关。寒潮与总住院、心血管和呼吸系统入院的 38%(95%CI:35%,40%)、33%(95%CI:28%,37%)和 32%(95%CI:24%,40%)的增加有关。热浪和寒潮相关的住院入院之间的差异在所有原因和心血管原因方面具有统计学意义,但在呼吸系统原因方面没有统计学意义。总之,热浪和寒潮均与上海住院入院风险增加相关。寒潮对住院入院的影响似乎大于热浪。公共卫生计划应针对该城市的极端温度相关健康问题进行定制。

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