University of Illinois, College of Pharmacy, USA.
Am J Pharm Educ. 2011 May 10;75(4):76. doi: 10.5688/ajpe75476.
To determine whether growth in the number of pharmacy graduates and newly accredited schools from 2000 to 2009 were larger in states with fewer pharmacists per population age ≥ 65 years.
States were aggregated into quartiles based on rank-ordered ratios of in-state pharmacists per 100,000 population aged ≥ 65 years. Quartiles were then compared with respect to the number of new graduates.
The mean cumulative number of graduates was highest in the first quartile of states (those with the greatest need for pharmacists) and lowest in the fourth quartile of states. States with the greatest need for pharmacists had the lowest positive growth in number of pharmacists per population ≥ 65 years. The majority of new schools in 2009 were located in states with relatively low numbers of pharmacists.
The growth in new pharmacy graduates created by expansion in schools as well as in graduates per school helped states meet demand between 2000 and 2009. However, tremendous variation remains in the number of graduates as well as the number of pharmacists across states. The quartile framework is useful for assessing the number of new pharmacy graduates based on pharmacists per population ratios. Based on current dynamics in the supply and demand of pharmacists, frequent monitoring is recommended.
确定 2000 年至 2009 年期间，人口中每 10 万≥65 岁老年人药师数量较少的州，药剂学毕业生人数和新认证学校的增长情况是否更大。
根据每 10 万≥65 岁人口中本州药剂师人数的排序比，将各州分为四组。然后，比较各分组中新毕业生的数量。
在第一组（即对药剂师需求最大的州）中，毕业生的累计平均人数最高，而在第四组（即对药剂师需求最小的州）中，毕业生的累计平均人数最低。对药剂师需求最大的州，每 10 万≥65 岁人口中药剂师人数的正增长最低。2009 年新增的大部分学校都位于药剂师人数相对较少的州。
学校数量的扩大以及每个学校的毕业生人数的增加，使得 2000 年至 2009 年间各州的需求得到了满足。然而，各州的毕业生人数和药剂师人数仍存在巨大差异。根据每 10 万人口中药师人数的比例，四分组框架可用于评估新增药师人数。基于目前药师供需的动态变化，建议进行频繁监测。
