Bound John, Lovenheim Michael F, Turner Sarah
University of Michigan Department of Economics, 611 Tappan Street, 318 Lorch Hall, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1220 and National Bureau of Economic Research.
Am Econ J Appl Econ. 2010 Jul 1;2(3):129-157. doi: 10.1257/app.2.3.129.
Rising college enrollment over the last quarter century has not been met with a proportional increase in college completion. Comparing the high school classes of 1972 and 1992, we show declines in college completion rates have been most pronounced for men who first enroll in less selective public universities and community colleges. We decompose the decline into the components due to changes in preparedness of entering students and due to changes in collegiate characteristics, including type of institution and resources per student. While both factors play some role, the supply-side characteristics are most important in explaining changes in college completion. (JEL I23).
在过去四分之一个世纪里,大学入学人数不断增加,但大学毕业率却没有相应提高。通过比较1972年和1992年的高中班级,我们发现,首次进入选择性较低的公立大学和社区学院的男性,其大学毕业率下降最为明显。我们将这种下降分解为两个因素:一是入学学生准备情况的变化,二是大学特征的变化,包括机构类型和每名学生的资源。虽然这两个因素都起到了一定作用,但在解释大学毕业率的变化时,供给侧特征最为重要。(《经济学期刊分类号》I23)