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瑞士 1992 年至 2009 年间 18 至 19 岁应征者(N=458322)的平均身高,以及自 1878 年以来的身高长期变化趋势。

The average height of 18- and 19-year-old conscripts (N=458,322) in Switzerland from 1992 to 2009, and the secular height trend since 1878.

机构信息

Centre for Evolutionary Medicine, Institute of Anatomy, University of Zurich, CH.

出版信息

Swiss Med Wkly. 2011 Jul 30;141:w13238. doi: 10.4414/smw.2011.13238. eCollection 2011.

Abstract

QUESTION UNDER STUDY

We determine the causes of secular changes in the average height of the male Swiss population for the first time by analysing an unbiased, individually measured, highly representative height-data sample of 18- and 19-year-old Swiss conscripts (N = 458,322) at the national level spanning the years 1992 to 2009. Furthermore, we add historical context based on earlier data from the same source.

RESULTS

In 2009, the average height of regularly 19-year-old Swiss conscripts was 178.2 cm. Percentiles were P5 = 168 cm, P10 = 170 cm, P25 = 174 cm, P50 = 178 cm, P75 = 182 cm, P90 = 187 cm, and P95 = 189 cm. Over the course of the 130 years between 1878-79 and 2009 the average height of 19-year-old conscripts increased by a total of 14.9 cm. The distribution shifted upwards. In 1878-79, 5.48% of conscripts were 175 cm tall or taller, but only 0.89% were 180 cm tall or taller. In 2008-09, 71.13% of the conscripts were 175 cm tall or taller, and 41.69% 180 cm tall or taller. In recent decades, this trend has slowed markedly.

CONCLUSIONS

While the increase in average height among Swiss conscripts (representative 90% of the male Swiss population) since the 19th century is usually attributed to improvements in living conditions, all of the factors contributing to the recent slowdown have yet to be identified.

摘要

研究问题

我们通过分析 1992 年至 2009 年间全国范围内 18 至 19 岁瑞士应征入伍者(N=458322)的无偏、个体测量、高度代表性的身高数据样本,首次确定了瑞士男性人口平均身高的长期变化的原因。此外,我们还根据同一来源的早期数据提供了历史背景。

结果

2009 年,定期 19 岁的瑞士应征入伍者的平均身高为 178.2 厘米。百分位数为 P5=168 厘米,P10=170 厘米,P25=174 厘米,P50=178 厘米,P75=182 厘米,P90=187 厘米,P95=189 厘米。在 1878-79 年至 2009 年的 130 年期间,19 岁应征入伍者的平均身高总共增加了 14.9 厘米。分布向上转移。在 1878-79 年,5.48%的应征入伍者身高为 175 厘米或更高,但只有 0.89%的人身高为 180 厘米或更高。在 2008-09 年,71.13%的应征入伍者身高为 175 厘米或更高,41.69%的人身高为 180 厘米或更高。在最近几十年,这一趋势明显放缓。

结论

自 19 世纪以来,瑞士应征入伍者(代表瑞士男性人口的 90%)平均身高的增加通常归因于生活条件的改善,但导致最近放缓的所有因素尚未确定。

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