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以色列年轻人传染性单核细胞增多症的季节性和季节性趋势:1978-2009 年。

Secular and seasonal trends of infectious mononucleosis among young adults in Israel: 1978-2009.

机构信息

Army Health Branch, Medical Corps, Israeli Defense Forces, Tel Aviv, Israel.

出版信息

Eur J Clin Microbiol Infect Dis. 2012 May;31(5):757-60. doi: 10.1007/s10096-011-1371-2. Epub 2011 Aug 3.

Abstract

Recent evidence that infectious mononucleosis (IM) may be sexually transmitted prompted the present analysis. Infectious mononucleosis is a notifiable disease in the Israel Defense Forces (IDF). For the present study, the archives of the IDF were reviewed for all cases of IM from January 1, 1978 to December 31, 2009, and the rates were calculated. Annual rates decreased from 2.99 cases per 1,000 in 1979 to a low of 0.38 cases per 1,000 young adults in 1987. Between 2002 and 2009, the average annual rate was 0.88 cases per 1,000, just half the average rate of 1.69 observed between 1989 and 2001. Average monthly rates varied from a low of 0.90 cases per 10,000 in February to a high of 1.50 cases per 10,000 in August. The difference in the average rates between winter (1.02 cases per 10,000 soldiers) and summer (1.29 cases per 10,000 soldiers) was significant (p < 0.01). Analysis of the long-term epidemiology of IM shows that the infection rate has varied over time, and that the disease is more prevalent in the warmer months. This seasonality trend was also observed in several STD, raising the possibility of considering this mode of transmission in IM.

摘要

最近有证据表明传染性单核细胞增多症(IM)可能通过性传播,这促使我们进行了本次分析。传染性单核细胞增多症是以色列国防军(IDF)需要报告的疾病。在本次研究中,我们查阅了 1978 年 1 月 1 日至 2009 年 12 月 31 日期间 IDF 所有 IM 病例的档案,并计算了发病率。发病率从 1979 年的每千人 2.99 例降至 1987 年青年成年人每千人 0.38 例的最低水平。2002 年至 2009 年期间,平均年发病率为每千人 0.88 例,仅为 1989 年至 2001 年期间平均 1.69 例的一半。平均月发病率从 2 月的每万人 0.90 例的最低水平到 8 月的每万人 1.50 例的最高水平不等。冬季(每万名士兵 1.02 例)和夏季(每万名士兵 1.29 例)平均发病率的差异具有统计学意义(p < 0.01)。IM 的长期流行病学分析表明,感染率随时间而变化,并且疾病在温暖的月份更为流行。这种季节性趋势也在几种性传播疾病中观察到,这使得人们有可能考虑将这种传播方式纳入 IM 的考虑范围。

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