Allan F. Williams LLC, Bethesda, Maryland 20817, USA.
Traffic Inj Prev. 2011 Aug;12(4):312-9. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2011.572100.
One objective was to determine teenage licensing rates on a national basis, interest in early licensure, and reasons for delay. A second objective was to learn teenagers' opinions about licensing policies, important in states considering ways to upgrade their current licensing systems.
One thousand three hundred eighty-three 15- to 18-year-olds completed an online survey in November 2010. They were drawn from a nationally representative panel of US households recruited using probability-based sampling. The panel included cell phone-only households, and Internet access was provided to those without it. Weighting procedures were applied so that the study population represented the national US population of 15- to 18-year-olds.
Most teens said that they were interested in getting a license as soon as legally possible, but many had not started the process. At 16, teens were about equally divided among those who had not started, those in the learner stage, and those with a restricted or full license. At 18, 62 percent had full licenses; 22 percent had not started. For those old enough to start, lack of a car, costs, parent availability, ability to get around without a car, and being busy with other activities were leading reasons for delay. The majority of teens were not in favor of higher licensing ages. Forty-six percent thought the minimum learner age should be 16; 30 percent thought the full license age should be 18 or older. The majority approved of night (78%) and passenger (57%) restrictions, and 85 and 93 percent endorsed cell phone and texting bans, respectively. When these policies were packaged together in a single law that included an age 16 start, night, passenger, cell phone and texting bans, and a full license at age 18, 74 percent of teens were in favor.
Teenagers are not as supportive of strong licensing policies as parents of teens, but there is evidence that they will support comprehensive policies likely to lead to further reductions in teen crash rates.
一是确定全国范围内青少年的许可率、提前许可的意愿以及延迟许可的原因。二是了解青少年对许可政策的看法,这在考虑升级当前许可系统的各州中非常重要。
2010 年 11 月,1383 名 15 至 18 岁的青少年完成了一项在线调查。他们是从美国一个具有代表性的家庭小组中抽取的,该小组采用基于概率的抽样方法招募。该小组包括仅使用手机的家庭,没有互联网接入的家庭可以获得。采用加权程序,以使研究人群代表全国 15 至 18 岁的美国人口。
大多数青少年表示,他们希望尽快合法获得驾照,但许多人尚未开始申请。16 岁时,未开始申请的青少年、处于学习阶段的青少年和持有限制或全驾照的青少年人数大致相等。18 岁时,62%的人持有全驾照;22%的人尚未开始。对于那些已经到了可以开始的年龄的人来说,没有车、费用、父母是否有空、没有车是否能四处走动以及忙于其他活动是延迟的主要原因。大多数青少年不赞成提高驾驶年龄。46%的人认为最低学习年龄应为 16 岁;30%的人认为全驾照年龄应为 18 岁或以上。大多数人赞成夜间(78%)和乘客(57%)限制,分别有 85%和 93%的人赞成禁止使用手机和发短信。当这些政策被打包成一项单一的法律,其中包括 16 岁开始、夜间、乘客、手机和短信禁令以及 18 岁获得全驾照时,74%的青少年表示支持。
青少年不像青少年的父母那样支持严格的许可政策,但有证据表明,他们将支持全面的政策,这可能会导致青少年车祸率进一步降低。