Drabo Emmanuel Fulgence, Michael Jeffrey Paul, Ehsani Johnathon Pouya
Department of Health Policy and Management, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
Department of Health Policy and Management, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Inj Prev. 2024 Jul 29. doi: 10.1136/ip-2023-045221.
To analyse factors influencing the American public's preferences for changes to teenage driver licensing requirements.
We employed a discrete choice experiment (DCE) with 808 participants from National Opinion Research Center's AmeriSpeak panel to assess preferences for two existing elements (on-road testing and intermediate licensure period) and a new feature (driver monitoring with telematics during the intermediate licensure period) of licensing system. Multinomial and mixed logit models were used to estimate preference weights, marginal rates of substitution and the relative importance of each attribute.
Among 730 respondents who completed all DCE choice tasks, we found robust support for changes to teenage driver licensing requirements, with preferences varying by individual characteristics. Respondents expressed a high baseline support for changes to teen driving licensure policies. They favoured testing, prioritising easy tests and opposed prolonged driver monitoring and extended intermediate licensure periods. Baseline preference weights exhibited substantial heterogeneity, emphasising the diversity of public preferences. The marginal rates of substitution revealed a preference for extended driver monitoring over an extended intermediate licensure period. An easy test was valued at 2.85 times more than a hard one. The most influential attributes were the length of intermediate licence period and testing requirements, with the former twice as important.
Our study found robust support for reforms to teenage driver licensing requirements, favouring easier on-road driving tests over an extended period of intermediate licensure and driver monitoring. Public preferences for licensing systems need to be balanced with the broader policy objectives including optimising mobility and maximising safety.
分析影响美国公众对青少年驾驶执照许可要求变更偏好的因素。
我们对来自美国国家民意研究中心AmeriSpeak小组的808名参与者进行了一项离散选择实验(DCE),以评估对许可系统的两个现有要素(上路测试和中级许可期)以及一个新特性(在中级许可期内通过远程信息处理进行驾驶员监控)的偏好。使用多项和混合逻辑模型来估计偏好权重、边际替代率以及每个属性的相对重要性。
在完成所有DCE选择任务的730名受访者中,我们发现对青少年驾驶执照许可要求的变更有有力支持,偏好因个人特征而异。受访者对青少年驾驶执照政策的变更表达了较高的基线支持。他们赞成测试,优先选择简单的测试,并反对延长驾驶员监控和延长中级许可期。基线偏好权重表现出很大的异质性,强调了公众偏好的多样性。边际替代率显示,相对于延长中级许可期,受访者更倾向于延长驾驶员监控。简单测试的价值是困难测试的2.85倍。最有影响力的属性是中级许可期的长度和测试要求,前者的重要性是后者的两倍。
我们的研究发现对青少年驾驶执照许可要求的改革有有力支持,相较于延长中级许可期和驾驶员监控,更倾向于更简单的上路驾驶测试。公众对许可系统的偏好需要与更广泛的政策目标相平衡,包括优化交通流动性和最大限度地提高安全性。