Instituto de Alta Investigación IAI, Universidad de Tarapacá, Casilla 7-D Arica, Chile.
J Theor Biol. 2011 Dec 21;291:29-32. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.09.018. Epub 2011 Sep 21.
We propose a mathematical nonlinear model for the Tiwanaku civilization collapse based on the assumption, supported by archeological data, that a drought caused a lack of the main resource, water. We evaluate the parameter of our model using archaeological data. According to our numerical simulation the population core should have decreased from 45,000 to 2000 inhabitants due to lake surface contraction.
我们提出了一个基于假设的蒂瓦纳库文明崩溃的数学非线性模型,该假设得到了考古数据的支持,即干旱导致主要资源水的短缺。我们使用考古数据来评估模型的参数。根据我们的数值模拟,由于湖泊表面收缩,人口核心区的人口应该从 45000 人减少到 2000 人。