更严格的残疾保险标准对劳动力参与率的影响。

University of Zurich, University of St. Gallen & RAND, Switzerland.

J Public Econ. 2011 Oct;95(9-10):1223-1235. doi: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2011.05.008.

This paper studies the effect of a large-scale policy change in the Austrian disability insurance program, which tightened eligibility criteria for men above a certain age. Using administrative data on the universe of Austrian private-sector employees, the results of difference-in-difference regressions suggest a substantial and statistically significant decline in disability enrollment of 6 to 7.4 percentage points and an increase in employment of 1.6 to 3.4 percentage points. The policy change had important spillover effects into the unemployment and sickness insurance program. Specifically, the share of individuals receiving unemployment benefits increased by 3.5 to 3.9 percentage points, and the share receiving sickness insurance benefits, by roughly 0.7 percentage points.

本文研究了奥地利残疾保险计划中一项大规模政策变化的影响，该政策收紧了特定年龄以上男性的资格标准。利用奥地利私营部门全体员工的行政数据，双重差分回归结果表明，残疾登记人数大幅下降，在统计上具有显著意义，下降了6至7.4个百分点，就业人数增加了1.6至3.4个百分点。该政策变化对失业保险和医疗保险计划产生了重要的溢出效应。具体而言，领取失业救济金的个人比例增加了3.5至3.9个百分点，领取医疗保险金的比例增加了约0.7个百分点。