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老年患者择期结直肠切除术后 30 天死亡率是否为合适的风险评估指标?

Is 30-day mortality an appropriate measure of risk in elderly patients undergoing elective colorectal resection?

机构信息

Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College, St Mary's Hospital, South Wharf Road, London W21NY, UK.

出版信息

Colorectal Dis. 2012 Oct;14(10):1175-82. doi: 10.1111/j.1463-1318.2011.02859.x.

DOI:10.1111/j.1463-1318.2011.02859.x
PMID:21999306
Abstract

AIM

The study aimed to define mortality in the elderly following elective colorectal resection and to identify the most meaningful postoperative period to report mortality rates in this group of patients.

METHOD

A systematic review was undertaken to identify studies that reported on mortality in the elderly following elective colorectal resection. Searches of MEDLINE, Embase and PubMed databases were carried out by two independent reviewers and the results were collated. Two reviewers conducted literature searches independently and the third reviewer acted as an arbiter in case of discordance.

RESULTS

Two-hundred and thirty-six studies published in 2000 or later were identified in the search. Studies were excluded if they included emergency surgery, included patients receiving surgery before 1995, or did not comment on mortality in an elderly age group. Seventeen studies were finally included in the review. Thirty-day or postoperative mortality rates varied from 0 to 13.3%. Short-term mortality was low in elderly patients selected for minimal access surgery. National population and registry observational audits reported higher short-term mortality rates than most small case series or cohort studies. One national audit demonstrated that a significant mortality risk persists for up to 1 year after surgery.

CONCLUSION

Historical case series suggest that 30-day mortality following colorectal resection in the elderly is low. The reliability of 30-day mortality measures to reflect surgical success in this cohort is, however, questionable as a significant proportion of patients die in the months following surgery.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在确定择期结直肠切除术后老年患者的死亡率,并确定报告该组患者死亡率的最有意义的术后时间段。

方法

进行了系统评价,以确定报告择期结直肠切除术后老年患者死亡率的研究。两名独立审查员对 MEDLINE、Embase 和 PubMed 数据库进行了搜索,并对结果进行了整理。两名审查员独立进行文献搜索,如有分歧,由第三名审查员作为仲裁者。

结果

在搜索中确定了 2000 年或之后发表的 236 项研究。如果研究包括急诊手术、包含 1995 年前接受手术的患者,或未在老年年龄组中评论死亡率,则将其排除在外。最终有 17 项研究被纳入综述。30 天或术后死亡率从 0 到 13.3%不等。选择微创外科手术的老年患者的短期死亡率较低。国家人群和登记观察性审计报告的短期死亡率高于大多数小病例系列或队列研究。一项国家审计表明,手术后长达 1 年仍存在显著的死亡风险。

结论

历史病例系列表明,老年患者结直肠切除术后 30 天死亡率较低。然而,30 天死亡率测量值在反映该队列手术成功方面的可靠性值得怀疑,因为手术后几个月内仍有相当一部分患者死亡。

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