Radboud University Nijmegen, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
J Eval Clin Pract. 2013 Feb;19(1):112-7. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2753.2011.01781.x. Epub 2011 Oct 26.
RATIONALE, AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: New causal theories explaining the aetiology of psychiatric disorders continuously appear in the literature. How might such new information directly impact clinical practice, to the degree that clinicians are aware of it and accept it? We investigated whether expert clinical psychologists and students use new causal information about psychiatric disorders according to rationalist norms in their diagnostic reasoning. Specifically, philosophical and Bayesian analyses suggest that it is rational to draw stronger inferences about the presence of a disorder when a client's presenting symptoms are from disparate locations in a causal theory of the disorder than when they are from proximal locations.
In a controlled experiment, we presented experienced clinical psychologists and students with recently published causal theories for different disorders; specifically, these theories proposed how the symptoms of each disorder stem from a root cause. Participants viewed hypothetical clients with presenting proximal or diverse symptoms, and indicated either the likelihood that the client has the disorder, or what additional information they would seek out to help inform a diagnostic decision.
Clinicians and students alike showed a strong preference for diverse evidence, over proximal evidence, in making diagnostic judgments and in seeking additional information. They did not show this preference in the control condition, in which they gave their own opinions prior to learning the causal information.
These findings suggest that experienced clinical psychologists and students are likely to use newly learned causal knowledge in a normative, rational way in diagnostic reasoning.
背景、目的和目标:新的因果理论不断出现在精神病学文献中,解释精神障碍的病因。临床医生如果意识到并接受这些新信息,它们会在多大程度上直接影响临床实践?我们研究了经验丰富的临床心理学家和学生是否会根据诊断推理中的理性主义规范,根据精神障碍的新因果信息进行诊断。具体来说,哲学和贝叶斯分析表明,当客户的表现症状来自于障碍因果理论的不同位置时,比来自于近端位置时,对障碍存在的推断更为合理。
在一项对照实验中,我们向经验丰富的临床心理学家和学生展示了不同障碍的最新因果理论;具体来说,这些理论提出了每种障碍的症状如何源自根本原因。参与者查看了具有近端或不同症状的假设客户,并表示客户患有该障碍的可能性,或他们会寻求哪些额外信息来帮助做出诊断决策。
临床医生和学生在做出诊断判断和寻求额外信息时,都强烈倾向于多样化的证据,而不是近端证据。他们在对照条件下没有表现出这种偏好,在对照条件下,他们在学习因果信息之前先给出自己的意见。
这些发现表明,经验丰富的临床心理学家和学生可能会以规范、理性的方式将新习得的因果知识应用于诊断推理中。