Popul Stud (Camb). 1977 Jul;31(2):313-34. doi: 10.1080/00324728.1977.10410432.
Summary A variety of indirect estimators of mortality; survival of children by marriage duration of mother, survival of first spouse by marriage duration and by age, maternal orphanhood, and survival of siblings, are investigated by the use of a wide range of model fertility and mortality situations. Survival probabilities are then related by regression analysis to the proportions with a particular characteristic, to yield an equation which can then be used to estimate the survival probability in a population. Maternal orphanhood and survival of first spouse by age have already shown themselves to be useful, and the new developments are only simplifications of the existing methodology. Survival of first spouse by duration of marriage, and survival of siblings are, however, new methods which have yet to be justified by field experience. In conclusion, the features common to all indirect mortality estimation procedures are outlined, and the direction future developments may take in response to gradually improving data quality is suggested.
利用广泛的生育和死亡模型情况，对各种间接死亡率估计指标（按母亲婚姻持续时间和年龄分类的儿童存活率、按婚姻持续时间和年龄分类的第一任配偶存活率、母亲丧偶率以及兄弟姐妹存活率）进行了研究。然后通过回归分析将存活率与具有特定特征的比例相关联，得出一个方程，该方程可用于估计人群中的存活率。母亲丧偶率和按年龄分类的第一任配偶存活率已经证明是有用的，而新的发展只是现有方法的简化。然而，婚姻持续时间分类的第一任配偶存活率和兄弟姐妹存活率是新的方法，尚未通过实地经验加以证明。总之，本文概述了所有间接死亡率估计程序的共同特征，并提出了未来可能会根据数据质量的逐步提高而进行的发展方向。
