School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, 39 Whatley Road, Bristol BS8 2PS, UK.
J Public Health (Oxf). 2012 Aug;34(3):447-53. doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdr091. Epub 2011 Nov 15.
Coroners' death certificates form the basis of suicide statistics in England and Wales. Recent increases in coroners' use of narrative verdicts may affect the reliability of local and national suicide rates.
We used Ministry of Justice data on inquests held between 2008 and 2009 and Local Authority suicide data (2001-02 and 2008-09) to investigate variations between coroners in their use of narrative verdicts and the impact of these on suicide rates, using 'other' verdicts (79% of which are narratives) as a proxy for narrative verdicts.
There was wide geographic variation in Coroners' use of 'other' (mainly narrative) verdicts--they comprised between 0 and 50% (median = 9%) of verdicts given by individual coroners in 2008-09. Coroners who gave more 'other' verdicts gave fewer suicide verdicts (r = - 0.41; P < 0.001). In the 10 English Coroners' jurisdictions where the highest proportion of 'other' verdicts were given, the incidence of suicide decreased by 16% between 2001-02 and 2008-09, whereas it did not change in areas served by the 10 coroners who used narratives the least.
Variation in Coroners' use of narrative verdicts influences the validity of reported regional suicide rates. Small-area suicide rates, and changes in these rates over time in the last decade, should be interpreted with caution.
验尸官的死亡证明是构成英格兰和威尔士自杀统计数据的基础。最近,验尸官使用叙述性裁决的情况有所增加,这可能会影响当地和全国自杀率的可靠性。
我们使用司法部关于 2008 年至 2009 年进行的审讯的数据以及地方当局自杀数据(2001-02 年和 2008-09 年),调查了验尸官在使用叙述性裁决方面的差异,以及这些裁决对自杀率的影响,使用“其他”裁决(其中 79%是叙述性裁决)作为叙述性裁决的替代。
验尸官使用“其他”(主要是叙述性)裁决的地理差异很大-它们在 2008-09 年占个别验尸官裁决的 0 至 50%(中位数=9%)。给予更多“其他”裁决的验尸官给出的自杀裁决越少(r = -0.41;P <0.001)。在英格兰 10 个验尸官辖区中,给予“其他”裁决比例最高的地区,2001-02 年至 2008-09 年期间自杀发生率下降了 16%,而在使用叙述性裁决最少的 10 名验尸官服务的地区,这一比例没有变化。
验尸官使用叙述性裁决的差异影响了报告的区域自杀率的有效性。小面积自杀率以及过去十年中这些比率的变化,应该谨慎解释。